GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Dimotiko Stadio Serron
Referee: F. Polychronis
Panserraikos
Match Timeline
Panetolikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
J. Garcia · Assist: K. Aleksic
Panetolikos
🔄
35'
M. Tsaousis ↔ Y. Armougom
Panserraikos
🔄
38'
J. Garcia ↔ J. Aguirre
Panetolikos
🟨
41'
Giannis Satsias
Panetolikos
🔄
46'
A. Karasalidis ↔ N. Karelis
Panserraikos
🔄
46'
S. Ben Sallam ↔ A. Maskanakis
Panserraikos
🔄
46'
G. Doiranlis ↔ V. Rumyantsev
Panserraikos
🟨
49'
Angelos Liasos
Panserraikos
65'
Volnei · Assist: N. Karelis
Panserraikos
🔄
68'
L. Smyrlis ↔ Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
68'
A. Matan ↔ A. Bregou
Panetolikos
🟨
73'
Kosta Aleksić
Panetolikos
🟨
76'
Iva Gelashvili
Panserraikos
🔄
76'
G. Satsias ↔ G. Agapakis
Panetolikos
🔄
77'
K. Aleksic ↔ C. Belevonis
Panetolikos
🟨
79'
Alexandros Maskanakis
Panserraikos
🔄
79'
A. Riera ↔ Alex Teixeira
Panserraikos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panserraikos Win 16.9%
Draw 0%
Panetolikos Win 83.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panserraikos0.99
Panetolikos1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panserraikos Panserraikos
WWDLW
24 GF / 66 GA
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WLDWL
33 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
14
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
15
2.41
Shots on Goal
2.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 matches
Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 matches
Panserraikos Statistic Panetolikos
7 Wins 9
7 Draws 8
20 Losses 17
24 Goals For 33
66 Goals Against 48
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
14 BTTS Yes 15
25 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 7
18 Failed To Score 16
2.41 Shots On Goal 2.97
7.91 Total Shots 9
2.59 Corners 3.65
36.9% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Panetolikos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panserraikos expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Panetolikos in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panetolikos having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Panetolikos.

Panserraikos Analysis

Panserraikos arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 28 points after 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 19 losses, while the 24:65 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Andrei Ivan (4 goals), A. Maras (3 goals), Alex Teixeira (3 goals), with creative support from Andrei Ivan (3 assists), L. Lyratzis (3 assists), Alex Teixeira (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panetolikos Analysis

With 34 points from 33 games and a place of 3, Panetolikos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 32:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Alexandru Mățan (5 goals), K. Aleksic (5 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panserraikos won 1 times, Panetolikos won 7 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Panserraikos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Panserraikos 5-3-2 / Panetolikos 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Panserraikos wins 1, draws 7, Panetolikos wins 7

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round