GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Dimotiko Stadio Serron
Referee: V. Fotias
Panserraikos
Match Timeline
Larisa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Aristotelis Karasalidis
Panserraikos
🟨
21'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
🟨
43'
Giannis Pasas
Larisa
🔄
46'
V. Sourlis ↔ A. Sagal
Larisa
🔄
52'
I. Gelashvili ↔ V. De Marco
Panserraikos
🔄
64'
D. Olafsson ↔ A. Papageorgiou
Larisa
🔄
74'
G. Doiranlis ↔ S. Ben Sallam
Panserraikos
🔄
74'
Alex Teixeira ↔ A. Maskanakis
Panserraikos
🔄
74'
G. Pasas ↔ P. Sisto
Larisa
76'
L. Tupta
Larisa
🟨
77'
Theocharis Iliadis
Larisa
🟨
80'
Igor Kalinin
Panserraikos
🟨
80'
Lubomir Tupta
Larisa
🔄
84'
F. Perez ↔ E. Pantelakis
Larisa
🔄
86'
M. Tsaousis ↔ N. Karelis
Panserraikos
VAR
90+6'
Juan Francisco Tinaglini
Panserraikos
🟨
90+7'
Athanasios Papageorgiou
Larisa
🟨
90+4'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
🟨
90+2'
Theodoros Venetikidis
Larisa
🟥
90+4'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
90'
N. Karelis
Panserraikos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panserraikos Win 61.7%
Draw 26.6%
Larisa Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panserraikos1.06
Larisa1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panserraikos Panserraikos
WWDLW
22 GF / 62 GA
Larisa Larisa
WLDWL
27 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.87
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
12
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
12
2.39
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panserraikos Panserraikos 31 matches
Larisa Larisa 31 matches
Panserraikos Statistic Larisa
7 Wins 4
6 Draws 12
18 Losses 15
22 Goals For 27
62 Goals Against 49
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
12 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
17 Failed To Score 10
2.39 Shots On Goal 3.81
7.87 Total Shots 11.32
2.42 Corners 3.87
36.4% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Larisa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panserraikos expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Larisa in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Larisa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Larisa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Panserraikos Analysis

Panserraikos come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 27 points after 31 matches. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:62, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Maras (3 goals), Alex Teixeira (3 goals), Andrei Ivan (3 goals), with creative support from Andrei Ivan (3 assists), L. Lyratzis (3 assists), Alex Teixeira (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Larisa Analysis

Larisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 24 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 27:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ángelo Sagal (6 goals), G. Pasas (4 goals), L. Garate (4 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), L. Garate (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Panserraikos won 5 times, Larisa won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Panserraikos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Panserraikos 5-3-2 / Larisa 5-4-1
H2H summary: Panserraikos wins 5, draws 2, Larisa wins 6
Stats
Panserraikos Panserraikos
Larisa Larisa
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 2
4 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
328 Total passes 381
259 Passes accurate 306
1.45 expected_goals 0.44
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 7 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Panserraikos
Formation
Larisa
F. Tinaglini
F. Tinaglini
L. Lyratzis
L. Lyratzis
I. Gelashvili
I. Gelashvili
Volnei
Volnei
I. Kalinin
I. Kalinin
M. Tsaousis
M. Tsaousis
G. Doiranlis
G. Doiranlis
S. Omeonga
S. Omeonga
A. Riera
A. Riera
A. Ivan
A. Ivan
Alex Teixeira
Alex Teixeira
T. Venetikidis
T. Venetikidis
Y. Macon
Y. Macon
D. Batubinsika
D. Batubinsika
T. Iliadis
T. Iliadis
D. Olafsson
D. Olafsson
G. Naor
G. Naor
F. Perez
F. Perez
J. Atanasov
J. Atanasov
V. Sourlis
V. Sourlis
L. Tupta
L. Tupta
G. Pasas
G. Pasas
Panserraikos 5-3-2
Starting XI
77
F. Tinaglini
G
19
L. Lyratzis
D
5
I. Gelashvili
↓ 52'
D
30
Volnei
D
88
I. Kalinin
🟨 80'
D
14
M. Tsaousis
↓ 86'
D
24
G. Doiranlis
↓ 74'
M
40
S. Omeonga
M
7
A. Riera
M
9
A. Ivan
F
11
Alex Teixeira
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
20
A. Tsompanidis
G
80
N. Karelis
⚽ 90' ↑ 86'
F
81
V. De Marco
↑ 52'
D
31
Y. Armougom
D
6
S. Ben Sallam
↑ 74'
M
8
A. Liasos
M
17
A. Maskanakis
↑ 74'
M
28
E. Brooks
M
21
M. Sofianos
F
63
V. Rumyantsev
4
A. Karasalidis
🟨 -5'
D
23
C. Georgiadis
D
Larisa 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
21
T. Venetikidis
🟨 90+2'
G
27
Y. Macon
🟨 21' 🟨 90+4' 🟥 90+4'
D
28
D. Batubinsika
D
4
T. Iliadis
🟨 77'
D
20
D. Olafsson
↓ 64'
D
15
G. Naor
M
8
F. Perez
↓ 84'
M
31
J. Atanasov
M
90
V. Sourlis
↓ 46'
M
29
L. Tupta
⚽ 76' 🟨 80'
M
19
G. Pasas
↓ 74' 🟨 43'
F
Substitutes
94
A. Anagnostopoulos
G
1
N. Melissas
G
25
A. Sagal
↑ 46'
F
22
A. Papageorgiou
↑ 64' 🟨 90+7'
D
23
L. Garate
F
18
Z. Chatzistravos
M
14
E. Ferigra
D
77
P. Sisto
↑ 74'
F
6
E. Pantelakis
↑ 84'
D
7
J. Ngoy
F
26
P. Staikos
M
3
K. Grozos
D
Last matches: Panserraikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
6
L
17.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
12.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
4
L
18.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
3
2
W
08.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
08.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
2
1
W
16.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
2
2
D
08.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
PAOK
1
4
L
24.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
L
17.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panathinaikos
0
3
L
Last matches: Larisa
21.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Kifisia
2
3
L
16.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Atromitos
2
1
W
12.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Panetolikos
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
1
L
22.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Kifisia
1
1
D
18.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Atromitos
2
3
L
08.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Panetolikos
1
2
L
04.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
1
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
1
1
D
07.03.26
Sup
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Larisa
OFI
0
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Larisa
PAOK
1
1
D
15.02.26
Sup
Larisa
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
07.02.26
Sup
Larisa
Panetolikos
1
4
L
31.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Volos NFC
2
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Panserraikos
1
0
W
18.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
1
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Kifisia
1
1
D
H2H: Panserraikos vs Larisa
02.05.26
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
1
D
26.04.26
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
1
W
24.01.26
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
1
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
L
26.09.24
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
1
W
03.05.23
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
0
D
22.12.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
2
1
W
09.03.22
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
0
D
27.02.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
0
D
24.11.21
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
2
0
L
07.05.16
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
1
0
L
09.01.16
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
L
15.02.13
H2H
Larisa
Panserraikos
0
1
W
29.09.12
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
W
Last matches: Panserraikos
17.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
1
2
L
22.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
4
L
08.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
01.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
2
1
W
08.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC
0
4
L
17.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
22.12.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Levadiakos
0
2
L
08.12.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
1
L
23.11.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Panathinaikos
0
3
L
02.11.25
Sup
Panserraikos
PAOK
0
5
L
25.10.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
L
04.10.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
2
1
W
20.09.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
30.08.25
Sup
Panserraikos
OFI
0
1
L
H2H at home: Panserraikos
02.05.26
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
L
22.12.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
2
1
W
27.02.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
L
05.12.21
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
0
D
09.01.16
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
L
29.09.12
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
W
Last matches: Larisa
21.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Kifisia
2
3
L
12.05.26
Sup
Larisa
Panetolikos
1
1
D
18.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Atromitos
2
3
L
04.04.26
Sup
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
1
3
L
22.03.26
Sup
Larisa
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
07.03.26
Sup
Larisa
AEK Athens FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Sup
Larisa
OFI
0
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Larisa
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Volos NFC
2
0
W
10.01.26
Sup
Larisa
Kifisia
1
1
D
13.12.25
Sup
Larisa
Levadiakos
0
3
L
29.11.25
Sup
Larisa
Aris Thessalonikis
1
2
L
08.11.25
Sup
Larisa
Panetolikos
0
3
L
25.10.25
Sup
Larisa
Panserraikos
2
0
W
29.09.25
Sup
Larisa
Atromitos
1
1
D
14.09.25
Sup
Larisa
Asteras Tripolis
2
2
D
24.08.25
Sup
Larisa
PAOK
0
1
L
H2H away: Larisa
02.05.26
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
W
22.12.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
2
1
L
27.02.22
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
W
05.12.21
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
0
D
09.01.16
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
2
W
29.09.12
H2H
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round