GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
02.05.2026 14:30
Dimotiko Stadio Serron
Referee: V. Fotias
Panserraikos
Match Timeline
Larisa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Aristotelis Karasalidis
Panserraikos
🟨
21'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
🟨
43'
Giannis Pasas
Larisa
🔄
46'
V. Sourlis ↔ A. Sagal
Larisa
🔄
52'
I. Gelashvili ↔ V. De Marco
Panserraikos
🔄
64'
D. Olafsson ↔ A. Papageorgiou
Larisa
🔄
74'
G. Doiranlis ↔ S. Ben Sallam
Panserraikos
🔄
74'
Alex Teixeira ↔ A. Maskanakis
Panserraikos
🔄
74'
G. Pasas ↔ P. Sisto
Larisa
76'
L. Tupta
Larisa
🟨
77'
Theocharis Iliadis
Larisa
🟨
80'
Igor Kalinin
Panserraikos
🟨
80'
Lubomir Tupta
Larisa
🔄
84'
F. Perez ↔ E. Pantelakis
Larisa
🔄
86'
M. Tsaousis ↔ N. Karelis
Panserraikos
VAR
90+6'
Juan Francisco Tinaglini
Panserraikos
🟨
90+7'
Athanasios Papageorgiou
Larisa
🟨
90+4'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
🟨
90+2'
Theodoros Venetikidis
Larisa
🟥
90+4'
Yvann Maçon
Larisa
90'
N. Karelis
Panserraikos

Panserraikos vs Larisa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Panserraikos Win 61.7%
Draw 26.6%
Larisa Win 11.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panserraikos1.06
Larisa1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panserraikos Panserraikos
WWDLW
22 GF / 62 GA
Larisa Larisa
WLDWL
27 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.87
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
12
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
12
2.39
Shots on Goal
3.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panserraikos Panserraikos 31 matches
Larisa Larisa 31 matches
Panserraikos Statistic Larisa
7 Wins 4
6 Draws 12
18 Losses 15
22 Goals For 27
62 Goals Against 49
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
12 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
17 Failed To Score 10
2.39 Shots On Goal 3.81
7.87 Total Shots 11.32
2.42 Corners 3.87
36.4% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Larisa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panserraikos expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Larisa in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Larisa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Larisa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Panserraikos Analysis

Panserraikos come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 27 points after 31 matches. With 7 wins, 6 draws, and 18 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:62, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Maras (3 goals), Alex Teixeira (3 goals), Andrei Ivan (3 goals), with creative support from Andrei Ivan (3 assists), L. Lyratzis (3 assists), Alex Teixeira (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses supports the view of a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Larisa Analysis

Larisa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 24 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 27:49 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Ángelo Sagal (6 goals), G. Pasas (4 goals), L. Garate (4 goals), with creative support from Ľubomír Tupta (2 assists), Savvas Mourgos (2 assists), L. Garate (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Panserraikos won 5 times, Larisa won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Panserraikos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Panserraikos 5-3-2 / Larisa 5-4-1
H2H summary: Panserraikos wins 5, draws 2, Larisa wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round