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17.10.2026 11:15
Aukstaitijos Stadium
Referee: R. Smitas
Panevėžys
Match Timeline
Banga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
44'
A. Appiah
Banga
⚽
58'
S. Kerkez · Assist: E. Burdzilauskas
Panevėžys
🔄
59'
S. Kouadio ↔ E. Veliulis
Panevėžys
🔄
59'
N. Petkevicius ↔ M. Bacanin
Panevėžys
🟨
67'
R. Rasimavicius
Panevėžys
🔄
68'
M. Sato ↔ R. Filipavicius
Banga
🟨
73'
D. Balsys
Panevėžys
🔄
76'
N. Zebrauskas ↔ D. Lukas
Banga
🔄
76'
A. Olugbogi ↔ I. Venckus
Banga
🔄
80'
I. Asante ↔ O. Kurtsev
Panevėžys
🔄
80'
D. Balsys ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
⚽
90'
P. Bizoza · Assist: S. Keita
Panevėžys

Panevėžys vs Banga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Panevėžys Win 34.7%
Draw 13.3%
Banga Win 52%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panevėžys1.18
Banga1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panevėžys Panevėžys
W W L W W
10 GF / 2 GA
Banga Banga
W L L D D
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
20
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panevėžys Panevėžys 40 matches
Banga Banga 35 matches
Panevėžys Statistic Banga
17 Wins 14
8 Draws 10
15 Losses 11
49 Goals For 51
51 Goals Against 39
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
20 BTTS Yes 15
31 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Banga's more proactive style and Panevėžys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Banga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Banga.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys are currently 7 in the standings with 32 points from 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses, while the 29:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Banga Analysis

Banga arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 41 points after 28 matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 32:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panevėžys won 8 times, Banga won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from Panevėžys's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: Panevėžys wins 8, draws 4, Banga wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 16 10 5 61:21 40 58
W D W W L
2 31 14 11 6 41:31 10 53
W L L D D
3 31 15 6 10 49:35 14 51
D W W L W
4 31 14 7 10 48:39 9 49
L W D W W
5
Banga Away
31 11 9 11 34:32 2 42
L D L W L
6 31 11 9 11 42:46 -4 42
L W D L L
7 31 11 5 15 33:46 -13 38
W L W L W
8 32 4 14 14 33:58 -25 26
L L L D D
9 31 4 9 18 26:59 -33 21
W D L D L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L