GREECE SUPER LEAGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Panetolikos Stadium
Referee: A. Sidiropoulos
Panetolikos
Match Timeline
Panserraikos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
A. Bouchalakis
Panetolikos
25'
A. Riera · Assist: Alex Teixeira
Panserraikos
37'
Alex Teixeira
Panserraikos
48'
Alex Teixeira · Assist: L. Lyratzis
Panserraikos
🔄
55'
K. Aleksic ↔ Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
55'
S. Ben Sallam ↔ G. Doiranlis
Panserraikos
🔄
70'
A. Ivan ↔ A. Maskanakis
Panserraikos
🔄
71'
A. Apostolopoulos ↔ J. Garcia
Panetolikos
🔄
71'
Farley Rosa ↔ L. Smyrlis
Panetolikos
🔄
79'
Y. Badji ↔ J. Aguirre
Panetolikos
🔄
79'
C. Mavrias ↔ A. Bregou
Panetolikos
🔄
87'
Alex Teixeira ↔ N. Karelis
Panserraikos
🔄
88'
A. Riera ↔ E. Brooks
Panserraikos
90'
J. Aguirre
Panetolikos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
62.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
79.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Panetolikos Win 54.2%
Draw 17.4%
Panserraikos Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panetolikos1.38
Panserraikos0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WWDLW
27 GF / 40 GA
Panserraikos Panserraikos
WLDWL
18 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.64
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
16
2.71
Shots on Goal
2.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panetolikos Panetolikos 28 matches
Panserraikos Panserraikos 28 matches
Panetolikos Statistic Panserraikos
8 Wins 5
6 Draws 6
14 Losses 17
27 Goals For 18
40 Goals Against 56
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 2
11 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 4
14 Failed To Score 16
2.71 Shots On Goal 2.36
9 Total Shots 8.07
3.57 Corners 2.39
43.5% Ball Possession 36.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panetolikos expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Panserraikos in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panserraikos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panserraikos. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Panetolikos Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 28 outings, Panetolikos continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 27:40 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Aleksic (5 goals), Alexandru Mățan (4 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Panserraikos Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Panserraikos have collected 21 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats, together with a 18:56 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Maras (3 goals), Andrei Ivan (3 goals), Marios Tsaousis (3 goals), with creative support from Andrei Ivan (2 assists), L. Lyratzis (2 assists), N. Karelis (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panetolikos won 7 times, Panserraikos won 1 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Panetolikos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.6%)
Predicted formations: Panetolikos 4-1-4-1 / Panserraikos 5-3-2
H2H summary: Panetolikos wins 7, draws 7, Panserraikos wins 1
Stats
Panetolikos Panetolikos
Panserraikos Panserraikos
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 0
12 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 1
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 1
1 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 3
5 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
570 Total passes 252
496 Passes accurate 187
1.01 expected_goals 1.80
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Panetolikos
Formation
Panserraikos
Y. Kucherenko
Y. Kucherenko
C. Mavrias
C. Mavrias
L. Kojic
L. Kojic
C. Sielis
C. Sielis
A. Apostolopoulos
A. Apostolopoulos
A. Bouchalakis
A. Bouchalakis
K. Aleksic
K. Aleksic
Esteban Diego
Esteban Diego
A. Matan
A. Matan
Farley Rosa
Farley Rosa
Y. Badji
Y. Badji
F. Tinaglini
F. Tinaglini
L. Lyratzis
🎯
L. Lyratzis
Volnei
Volnei
I. Gelashvili
I. Gelashvili
I. Kalinin
I. Kalinin
M. Tsaousis
M. Tsaousis
S. Ben Sallam
S. Ben Sallam
S. Omeonga
S. Omeonga
A. Riera
A. Riera
A. Ivan
A. Ivan
Alex Teixeira
⚽ 2 🎯
Alex Teixeira
Panetolikos 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
99
Y. Kucherenko
G
35
C. Mavrias
↓ 79'
D
28
L. Kojic
16
C. Sielis
D
65
A. Apostolopoulos
↓ 71'
41
A. Bouchalakis
⚽ 9'
M
14
K. Aleksic
↓ 55'
M
22
Esteban Diego
10
A. Matan
M
19
Farley Rosa
↓ 71'
M
25
Y. Badji
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
Z. Zivkovic
G
5
S. Mladen
D
31
J. Garcia
↑ 71'
F
18
G. Satsias
M
9
J. Aguirre
⚽ 90' ↑ 79'
70
Lenny Lobato
↑ 55'
F
7
L. Smyrlis
↑ 71'
F
77
E. Nikolaou
M
30
A. Bregou
↑ 79'
M
71
K. Michalak
M
8
C. Belevonis
M
2
G. Granath
D
Panserraikos 5-3-2
Starting XI
77
F. Tinaglini
G
19
L. Lyratzis
🎯 48'
D
30
Volnei
D
5
I. Gelashvili
D
88
I. Kalinin
D
14
M. Tsaousis
D
6
S. Ben Sallam
↓ 55'
M
40
S. Omeonga
M
7
A. Riera
⚽ 25' ↓ 88'
M
9
A. Ivan
↓ 70'
F
11
Alex Teixeira
⚽ 37' ⚽ 48' 🎯 25' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
20
A. Tsompanidis
G
80
N. Karelis
↑ 87'
F
81
V. De Marco
D
31
Y. Armougom
D
8
A. Liasos
M
17
A. Maskanakis
↑ 70'
M
28
E. Brooks
↑ 88'
M
21
M. Sofianos
F
24
G. Doiranlis
↑ 55'
M
63
V. Rumyantsev
4
A. Karasalidis
D
23
C. Georgiadis
D
Last matches: Panetolikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
1
D
12.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
2
1
W
02.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
0
D
22.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
08.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
2
1
W
04.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
28.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
1
L
21.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
14.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
07.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
4
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
0
1
L
19.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
1
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
3
L
Last matches: Panserraikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
6
L
17.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
12.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
L
09.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
1
D
26.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
4
L
08.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
0
D
04.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
14.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
0
D
08.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
22.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
2
1
W
16.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
2
2
D
08.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
PAOK
1
4
L
24.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
L
17.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panathinaikos
0
3
L
H2H: Panetolikos vs Panserraikos
17.05.26
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
18.04.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
L
22.03.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
08.12.25
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
1
W
22.05.25
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
0
W
23.04.25
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
22.12.24
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
04.01.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
1
1
D
07.08.23
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
2
3
W
25.10.17
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
0
W
17.03.13
H2H
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
05.11.12
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
Last matches: Panetolikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
2
L
12.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
09.03.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Asteras Tripolis
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
0
1
L
19.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
Levadiakos
1
3
L
10.01.26
Sup
Panetolikos
PAOK
0
3
L
14.12.25
Sup
Panetolikos
AEK Athens FC
0
5
L
30.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
1
L
08.11.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Larisa
3
0
W
18.10.25
Sup
Panetolikos
OFI
4
2
W
28.09.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Panathinaikos
1
2
L
13.09.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Volos NFC
1
2
L
23.08.25
Sup
Panetolikos
Atromitos
0
2
L
H2H at home: Panetolikos
18.04.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
L
22.03.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
22.05.25
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
0
W
31.08.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
W
04.01.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
2
W
25.10.17
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
0
W
05.11.12
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
Last matches: Panserraikos
21.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
0
6
L
12.05.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
1
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
2
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panetolikos
0
0
D
08.03.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Asteras Tripolis
1
0
W
16.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Atromitos
2
2
D
01.02.26
Sup
Panserraikos
PAOK
1
4
L
24.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Larisa
0
1
L
11.01.26
Sup
Panserraikos
Panathinaikos
0
3
L
13.12.25
Sup
Panserraikos
OFI
0
3
L
29.11.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Kifisia
0
3
L
09.11.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Levadiakos
2
5
L
19.10.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
1
2
L
27.09.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Aris Thessalonikis
1
1
D
13.09.25
Sup
Panserraikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
5
L
24.08.25
Sup
Panserraikos
AEK Athens FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Panserraikos
18.04.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
3
W
22.03.26
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D
22.05.25
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
1
0
L
31.08.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
0
L
04.01.24
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
3
2
L
25.10.17
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
2
0
L
05.11.12
H2H
Panetolikos
Panserraikos
0
0
D

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round