CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 87.2%
Draw 4.6%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 8.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.69
Universidad de Concepcion1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
44 GF / 38 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
24 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.77
17
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
14
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 27 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 26 matches
Palestino Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
13 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 14
44 Goals For 24
38 Goals Against 46
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.77
17 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 8
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.95
14.86 Total Shots 12.35
4.43 Corners 4.9
51.2% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Palestino's more proactive style and Universidad de Concepcion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad de Concepcion. Universidad de Concepcion arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Palestino arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 33 points compared to Universidad de Concepcion in 15 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palestino expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Universidad de Concepcion in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Palestino Analysis

Palestino come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 33 points after 21 matches. With 10 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 32:29, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Nelson Da Silva (4 goals), Gonzalo Tapia (3 goals), César Munder (2 goals), with creative support from Nelson Da Silva (2 assists), Dilan Zúñiga (2 assists), Nicolás Meza (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 19 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 14:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Cecilio Waterman (3 goals), Luis Rojas (2 goals), Jeison Fuentealba (1 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Bryan Ogaz (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 1 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Palestino's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-4-2 / Universidad de Concepcion 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Palestino wins 1, draws 2, Universidad de Concepcion wins 4