CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
24.04.2026 00:00
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Referee: Cristian Garay, Chile
Palestino
Match Timeline
Concepción
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
J. Larrivey
Concepción
🟨
34'
Matías Cavalleri
Concepción
🔄
46'
M. Araya ↔ D. Salgado
Palestino
🟨
48'
Sebastian Gallegos
Palestino
🟨
54'
Dilan Salgado
Palestino
🟨
59'
Joaquín Larrivey
Concepción
🔄
60'
C. Munder ↔ N. Da Silva
Palestino
🔄
61'
S. Gallegos ↔ G. Tapia Paez
Palestino
🔄
61'
I. A. Garguez Gomez ↔ A. A. Ceza Gavilan
Palestino
🔄
61'
M. Cavalleri ↔ Y. Rodriguez
Concepción
🔄
66'
J. Henriquez ↔ M. Gonzalez
Concepción
🔄
66'
N. Rodriguez ↔ J. Rojas
Concepción
🔄
78'
J. Larrivey ↔ L. Valencia Rossel
Concepción
🔄
78'
A. Jara ↔ A. Gillard
Concepción
🔄
79'
F. T. Montes Romero ↔ B. Carrasco
Palestino
🟨
90+3'
Sebastián Pérez
Palestino

Palestino vs Concepción Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 66.3%
Draw 5.3%
Concepción Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.53
Concepción1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
14 GF / 17 GA
Concepción Concepción
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.73
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4.7
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 10 matches
Concepción Concepción 11 matches
Palestino Statistic Concepción
4 Wins 1
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 8
14 Goals For 8
17 Goals Against 19
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
6 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 5
4.7 Shots On Goal 2.8
13.6 Total Shots 11.6
4.5 Corners 5.1
48.9% Ball Possession 49.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 2 times, Concepción won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:8 from Palestino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-1-4-1 / Concepción 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Palestino wins 2, draws 1, Concepción wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 5 7 27:24 3 29
W L D D L
9 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
10 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 21 6 4 11 16:35 -19 22
L W L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L