CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
Referee: R. Gonzalez
Palestino
Match Timeline
A. Italiano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Francisco Montes
Palestino
🟨
36'
Bryan Soto
A. Italiano
🟨
42'
Giovani Chiaverano
A. Italiano
🟨
51'
Sebastián Gallegos
Palestino
🔄
61'
F. Loyola ↔ M. Collao
A. Italiano
🔄
61'
B. Soto ↔ M. Fuentes
A. Italiano
🟨
71'
Sebastián Gallegos
Palestino
🟥
71'
Sebastián Gallegos
Palestino
🔄
73'
G. Tapia Paez ↔ J. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
76'
G. Chiaverano ↔ D. Coelho
A. Italiano
🔄
77'
F. T. Montes Romero ↔ D. Salgado
Palestino
🔄
77'
C. Munder ↔ M. Araya
Palestino
🔄
83'
P. Guajardo ↔ M. Jimenez
A. Italiano
🔄
83'
F. Mateos ↔ V. Zenteno
A. Italiano
🔄
85'
B. Carrasco ↔ R. Fernandez
Palestino
🔄
86'
N. Da Silva ↔ F. Meza
Palestino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.98
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.95
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.2%
1.98
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.9%
1.95
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.1%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Palestino Win 76.2%
Draw 16%
A. Italiano Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palestino1.59
A. Italiano1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palestino Palestino
WWDLW
21 GF / 20 GA
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WLDWL
17 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
9
4.77
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palestino Palestino 13 matches
A. Italiano A. Italiano 13 matches
Palestino Statistic A. Italiano
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 7
21 Goals For 17
20 Goals Against 20
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
8 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
4.77 Shots On Goal 3
14.62 Total Shots 10.54
4.31 Corners 3.54
49.1% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Palestino's more proactive style and A. Italiano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palestino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and A. Italiano in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring A. Italiano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Palestino come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Palestino Analysis

So far, Palestino have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:20 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Da Silva (6 goals), C. Munder (2 goals), F. T. Montes Romero (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), N. Da Silva (2 assists), I. A. Garguez Gomez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

A. Italiano Analysis

A. Italiano sit 13 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 17:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (2 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 7 times, A. Italiano won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Palestino's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.3%)
Predicted formations: Palestino 4-2-3-1 / A. Italiano 4-3-3
H2H summary: Palestino wins 7, draws 4, A. Italiano wins 4
Stats
Palestino Palestino
A. Italiano A. Italiano
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
10
5 Corner Kicks 8
10 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
39% Ball Possession 61%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 3
11 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 10
10 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 10
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
273 Total passes 427
205 Passes accurate 341
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Palestino
Formation
A. Italiano
S. A. Perez Kirby
S. A. Perez Kirby
F. T. Montes Romero
F. T. Montes Romero
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
E. Roco
E. Roco
J. Leon
J. Leon
S. Gallegos
S. Gallegos
N. Meza
N. Meza
B. Carrasco
B. Carrasco
G. Tapia Paez
G. Tapia Paez
C. Munder
C. Munder
N. Da Silva
N. Da Silva
T. Ahumada
T. Ahumada
R. Rebolledo
R. Rebolledo
E. Ferrario
E. Ferrario
D. Pina
D. Pina
E. Matus
E. Matus
F. Mateos
F. Mateos
B. Soto
B. Soto
F. Loyola
F. Loyola
P. Guajardo
P. Guajardo
F. Troyansky
F. Troyansky
G. Chiaverano
G. Chiaverano
Palestino 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
15
F. T. Montes Romero
↓ 77'
2
V. A. Espinoza Hevia
3
E. Roco
D
23
J. Leon
D
18
S. Gallegos
🟨 51' 🟨 71' 🟥 71'
M
8
N. Meza
M
7
B. Carrasco
↓ 85'
M
20
G. Tapia Paez
↓ 73'
M
27
C. Munder
↓ 77'
M
19
N. Da Silva
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
1
S. Salas
G
6
F. Meza
↑ 86'
D
9
R. Fernandez
↑ 85'
F
11
J. Benitez
F
5
J. Fernandez
↑ 73'
M
16
J. Bizama
D
4
A. A. Ceza Gavilan
D
24
D. Salgado
↑ 77'
21
M. Araya
↑ 77'
F
A. Italiano 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
T. Ahumada
G
35
R. Rebolledo
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
4
D. Pina
D
23
E. Matus
D
28
F. Mateos
↓ 83'
32
B. Soto
↓ 61' 🟨 36'
M
17
F. Loyola
↓ 61'
M
7
P. Guajardo
↓ 83'
F
11
F. Troyansky
F
21
G. Chiaverano
↓ 76' 🟨 42'
F
Substitutes
25
P. Garrido
8
M. Collao
↑ 61'
M
14
D. Monreal
20
M. Jimenez
↑ 83'
6
M. Sandoval
M
9
D. Coelho
↑ 76'
F
27
M. Fuentes
↑ 61'
F
10
R. Cabral
F
2
V. Zenteno
↑ 83'
M
Last matches: Palestino
24.05.26
Pri
Palestino
Union La Calera
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Colo Colo
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Palestino
U. Catolica
1
6
L
15.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
21.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Huachipato
1
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
Last matches: A. Italiano
23.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
3
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
H2H: Palestino vs A. Italiano
01.08.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
1
1
D
11.05.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
2
D
01.03.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
27.01.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
1
2
W
07.07.23
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
3
W
21.01.23
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
3
3
D
13.03.22
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
3
1
L
09.10.21
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
3
W
15.06.21
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
20.12.20
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
0
W
23.02.20
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
1
W
18.08.19
H2H
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
3
W
Last matches: Palestino
16.05.26
Pri
Palestino
D. La Serena
5
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Concepción
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Palestino
Deportes Limache
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Palestino
Cobresal
4
2
W
28.02.26
Pri
Palestino
O'Higgins
4
2
W
13.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Palestino
Nublense
1
1
D
H2H at home: Palestino
01.03.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
27.01.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
10.11.24
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
0
W
21.01.23
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
3
3
D
15.06.21
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
L
20.12.20
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
0
W
Last matches: A. Italiano
16.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
H2H away: A. Italiano
01.03.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
W
27.01.25
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
W
10.11.24
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
2
0
L
21.01.23
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
1
D
07.08.22
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
3
3
D
15.06.21
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
0
2
W
20.12.20
H2H
Palestino
A. Italiano
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.82
Draw 3.65
Home 1.98
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.25
Home 2.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.71
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 2.75 2.21
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.5 3.30
Over 4.5 6.52
Under 1.5 3.64
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.71
Under 3.0 1.51
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 4.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 3.75
Home 1.91
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.20
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.58
Draw 3.55
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.29
Draw 2.13
Home 2.51
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.86
Draw 2.46
Home 2.30
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 2.75 2.17
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.89
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.60
Over 4.25 5.99
Over 4.5 6.40
Over 4.75 9.10
Over 5.0 9.60
Over 5.5 12.50
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.85
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.90
Under 1.25 4.64
Under 1.5 3.34
Under 1.75 2.97
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.11
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.41
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 4.75 1.01
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 3.40
Home 1.96
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.16
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.48
Home 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.0 1.47
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 3.0 2.70
Over 3.25 3.05
Over 3.5 3.35
Over 4.0 5.60
Over 4.25 6.00
Over 4.5 6.25
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 2.0 2.45
Under 2.5 1.75
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.32
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 0 3 26:12 14 33
W W W W W
2 14 7 2 5 30:19 11 23
W L W L L
3 14 7 2 5 22:18 4 23
W D W L W
4 14 6 4 4 18:13 5 22
W D W W D
5 14 7 1 6 21:20 1 22
L L W D W
6 14 6 3 5 28:20 8 21
L L L D W
7 14 6 3 5 21:20 1 21
D W W L W
8 14 5 6 3 16:17 -1 21
W D L L D
9 13 5 5 3 13:8 5 20
W L W D L
10 13 6 1 6 19:20 -1 19
L L W W L
11 14 5 4 5 12:21 -9 19
D D W L L
12 14 4 5 5 20:24 -4 17
L W L D D
13 14 4 3 7 17:20 -3 15
D W L D L
14 14 4 1 9 19:26 -7 13
L L W L L
15 14 3 2 9 11:21 -10 11
L W L W D
16 14 3 2 9 12:26 -14 11
D L L L W