Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.2%
|
1.98 | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.9%
|
1.95 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
74.1%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Palestino
A. Italiano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Palestino
13 matches
A. Italiano
13 matches
| Palestino | Statistic | A. Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 17 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.31 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.54 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.77 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 14.62 | Total Shots | 10.54 |
| 4.31 | Corners | 3.54 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Palestino's more proactive style and A. Italiano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Palestino expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and A. Italiano in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward A. Italiano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring A. Italiano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Palestino come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
So far, Palestino have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 20 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:20 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Da Silva (6 goals), C. Munder (2 goals), F. T. Montes Romero (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Fernández (3 assists), N. Da Silva (2 assists), I. A. Garguez Gomez (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
A. Italiano sit 13 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 17:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (2 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Palestino won 7 times, A. Italiano won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Palestino's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Palestino
5
3
11
6
2
10
Lineups
Palestino
Union La Calera
Palestino
D. La Serena
Palestino
Concepción
Palestino
Colo Colo
Palestino
Deportes Limache
Palestino
U. Catolica
Palestino
Universidad de Concepcion
Palestino
Cobresal
Palestino
O'Higgins
Palestino
Huachipato
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
Coquimbo Unido
Palestino
Nublense
A. Italiano
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
Nublense
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
D. La Serena
Palestino
Concepción
Palestino
Deportes Limache
Palestino
Cobresal
Palestino
O'Higgins
Palestino
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
Nublense
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Nublense
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30:19 | 11 | 23 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:13 | 5 | 22 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 28:20 | 8 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Palestino
Home
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 20 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 19 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:21 | -9 | 19 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
A. Italiano
Away
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 15 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
W
|