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19.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: Marco Di Bello, Italy
Palermo
Match Timeline
Padova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
C. Pastina · Assist: M. Cocchi
Padova
VAR
9'
Christian Pastina
Padova
🟨
42'
Niccolò Pierozzi
Palermo
⚽
44'
D. Vavassori · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
46'
M. Bani ↔ G. Magnani
Palermo
🔄
46'
N. Pierozzi ↔ T. Cassandro
Palermo
🔄
53'
A. Seghetti ↔ F. Di Mariano
Padova
🟨
61'
Matteo Cocchi
Padova
🟨
66'
Filippo Ranocchia
Palermo
🔄
67'
F. Ranocchia ↔ N. Estevez
Palermo
🔄
69'
M. Cocchi ↔ L. Carissoni
Padova
🔄
69'
L. Moro ↔ K. Lasagna
Padova
🔄
76'
J. Segre ↔ C. Gomes
Palermo
🔄
82'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ A. Gabrielloni
Palermo
⚽
83'
D. Vavassori · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
84'
G. Giunti ↔ N. Galazzi
Padova
🔄
84'
E. Zuelli ↔ M. Bortolussi
Padova
🟥
90+1'
Lorenzo Carissoni
Padova

Palermo vs Padova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 67.9%
Draw 3.7%
Padova Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo2.02
Padova1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
D W W W W
13 GF / 6 GA
Padova Padova
W L D W L
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 12 matches
Padova Padova 9 matches
Palermo Statistic Padova
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
27 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 15
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
5.67 Shots On Goal 3
13.5 Total Shots 9.8
3.33 Corners 4.2
48.5% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Padova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Palermo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-2-3-1 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 1, Padova wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 21:11 10 23
D W W W W
2 10 6 2 2 18:10 8 20
D W W L W
3 9 5 3 1 16:6 10 18
W W D D W
4 10 5 3 2 15:11 4 18
D L W L W
5 9 4 3 2 18:13 5 15
D D W W D
6 10 4 3 3 14:10 4 15
L D W D W
7 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W L L
8 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
D L D L D
9 9 3 3 3 16:13 3 12
W D D L W
10 9 3 3 3 13:10 3 12
D L D W L
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
W W L L D
12 10 2 6 2 11:14 -3 12
D W L D L
13 10 2 4 4 11:12 -1 10
L D L W D
14 9 3 1 5 9:10 -1 10
W L W W L
15 9 3 1 5 9:19 -10 10
L L W D L
16 9 2 3 4 12:17 -5 9
L W D L L
17 9 3 3 3 9:9 0 8
L W W D D
18 10 2 2 6 10:18 -8 8
W L D L L
19 9 2 1 6 8:15 -7 7
L L D L L
20 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D D L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation