ITALY SERIE B
19.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo vs Padova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 67.9%
Draw 3.7%
Padova Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo2.02
Padova1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
27 GF / 12 GA
Padova Padova
WLDWL
11 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.25
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
5.67
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 12 matches
Padova Padova 9 matches
Palermo Statistic Padova
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
27 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 15
2.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
6 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
5.67 Shots On Goal 3
13.5 Total Shots 9.8
3.33 Corners 4.2
48.7% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Padova won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from Palermo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 3-4-2-1 / Padova 3-5-2
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 1, Padova wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation