ITALY COPPA ITALIA
03.09.2026 16:00
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: D. Di Marco
Palermo
Match Timeline
Mantova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
G. Strefezza · Assist: C. Gomes
Palermo
🔄
14'
S. Trimboli ↔ R. Kouda
Mantova
🟨
43'
Rareș Ilie
Mantova
VAR
45+2'
Ettore Gliozzi
Mantova
45'
A. Palumbo
Palermo
🔄
46'
G. Strefezza ↔ D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
46'
I. Cajazzo ↔ F. Ruocco
Mantova
🔄
46'
F. Chinetti ↔ J. Silva
Mantova
52'
F. Ruocco
Mantova
55'
R. Kouda · Assist: R. Ilie
Mantova
🟨
58'
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Palermo
🔄
60'
E. Gliozzi ↔ V. Vlahovic
Mantova
🔄
61'
G. Magnani ↔ P. Peda
Palermo
🔄
61'
A. Palumbo ↔ Hernani
Palermo
🔄
61'
A. Gabrielloni ↔ J. Pohjanpalo
Palermo
🟨
62'
Francesco Ruocco
Mantova
70'
J. Pohjanpalo · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
73'
C. Gomes ↔ J. Segre
Palermo
🔄
77'
T. Del Lungo ↔ B. Tomasevic
Mantova
89'
D. Johnsen · Assist: J. Segre
Palermo
90'
J. Pohjanpalo · Assist: D. Vavassori
Palermo

Palermo vs Mantova Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.77
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
1.22
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.77
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 45.6%
Draw 11.5%
Mantova Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo1.54
Mantova2.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
18 GF / 8 GA
Mantova Mantova
WLDWL
23 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3.29
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
3
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
5.67
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 9 matches
Mantova Mantova 7 matches
Palermo Statistic Mantova
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 1
18 Goals For 23
8 Goals Against 6
2 Avg Goals Scored 3.29
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
3 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
5.67 Shots On Goal 6.67
15 Total Shots 13.33
4 Corners 3
49.7% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 1 times, Mantova won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Palermo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-1-4-1 / Mantova 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Palermo wins 1, draws 3, Mantova wins 0