ITALY COPPA ITALIA
17.08.2026 19:15
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: Alberto Ruben Arena, Italy
Palermo
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
J. Joronen ↔ M. Fortin
Palermo
15'
D. Vavassori · Assist: P. Peda
Palermo
🟨
20'
Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
🟨
35'
Lassana Coulibaly
Lecce
42'
J. Pohjanpalo · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
46'
A. Palumbo ↔ Hernani
Palermo
🔄
46'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ J. Le Douaron
Palermo
🔄
46'
Y. Maleh ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🔄
62'
D. Johnsen ↔ G. Strefezza
Palermo
🔄
74'
O. Ngom ↔ O. Gorter
Lecce
🔄
74'
S. Pierotti ↔ H. Laerke
Lecce
🔄
77'
F. Ranocchia ↔ N. Estevez
Palermo
🔄
84'
W. Geubbels ↔ P. Esteban
Lecce
🔄
88'
L. Coulibaly ↔ M. Kaba
Lecce

Palermo vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 50.5%
Draw 12.5%
Lecce Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo1.6
Lecce1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Lecce Lecce
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 6 matches
Lecce Lecce 5 matches
Palermo Statistic Lecce
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
12 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 5
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Palermo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-2-3-1 / Lecce 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 2, Lecce wins 0