ITALY COPPA ITALIA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Referee: A. Arena
Palermo
Match Timeline
Lecce
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
5'
J. Joronen ↔ M. Fortin
Palermo
15'
D. Vavassori · Assist: P. Peda
Palermo
🟨
20'
Antonio Palumbo
Palermo
🟨
35'
Lassana Coulibaly
Lecce
42'
J. Pohjanpalo · Assist: D. Johnsen
Palermo
🔄
46'
A. Palumbo ↔ Hernani
Palermo
🔄
46'
J. Pohjanpalo ↔ J. Le Douaron
Palermo
🔄
46'
Y. Maleh ↔ N. Stulic
Lecce
🔄
62'
D. Johnsen ↔ G. Strefezza
Palermo
🔄
74'
O. Ngom ↔ O. Gorter
Lecce
🔄
74'
S. Pierotti ↔ H. Laerke
Lecce
🔄
77'
F. Ranocchia ↔ N. Estevez
Palermo
🔄
84'
W. Geubbels ↔ P. Esteban
Lecce
🔄
88'
L. Coulibaly ↔ M. Kaba
Lecce

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.5%
Odds 2.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.02
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.5%
2.45
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
2.02
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Palermo Win 50.5%
Draw 12.5%
Lecce Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
Palermo1.6
Lecce1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Palermo Palermo
WWDLW
12 GF / 6 GA
Lecce Lecce
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Palermo Palermo 6 matches
Lecce Lecce 5 matches
Palermo Statistic Lecce
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
12 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 5
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
5 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Palermo won 5 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:7 from Palermo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Palermo 4-2-3-1 / Lecce 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Palermo wins 5, draws 2, Lecce wins 0
Stats
Palermo Palermo
Lecce Lecce
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
2 Corner Kicks 8
12 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 14
3 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
360 Total passes 413
290 Passes accurate 348
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Palermo
Formation
Lecce
J. Joronen
J. Joronen
N. Pierozzi
N. Pierozzi
P. Peda
🎯
P. Peda
P. Ceccaroni
P. Ceccaroni
T. Augello
T. Augello
J. Segre
J. Segre
F. Ranocchia
F. Ranocchia
D. Vavassori
D. Vavassori
A. Palumbo
A. Palumbo
D. Johnsen
🎯
D. Johnsen
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
W. Falcone
W. Falcone
D. Veiga
D. Veiga
K. Gaspar
K. Gaspar
Tiago Gabriel
Tiago Gabriel
A. Gallo
A. Gallo
Y. Maleh
Y. Maleh
O. Ngom
O. Ngom
S. Pierotti
S. Pierotti
L. Coulibaly
L. Coulibaly
K. Ndri
K. Ndri
W. Geubbels
W. Geubbels
Palermo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
66
J. Joronen
↓ 5'
G
27
N. Pierozzi
D
29
P. Peda
🎯 15'
D
32
P. Ceccaroni
D
3
T. Augello
D
8
J. Segre
M
10
F. Ranocchia
↓ 77'
M
9
D. Vavassori
⚽ 15'
M
5
A. Palumbo
↓ 46' 🟨 20'
M
17
D. Johnsen
🎯 42' ↓ 62'
M
20
J. Pohjanpalo
⚽ 42' ↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
M. Nespola
G
14
M. Fortin
↑ 5'
G
13
M. Bani
D
84
T. Cassandro
D
93
F. Barba
D
33
A. Bozzolan
D
24
N. Estevez
↑ 77'
M
23
Hernani
↑ 46'
M
7
G. Strefezza
↑ 62'
F
78
F. Balsamo
M
21
J. Le Douaron
↑ 46'
F
Lecce 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
30
W. Falcone
G
17
D. Veiga
D
4
K. Gaspar
D
44
Tiago Gabriel
D
25
A. Gallo
D
14
Y. Maleh
↓ 46'
M
79
O. Ngom
↓ 74'
M
50
S. Pierotti
↓ 74'
M
29
L. Coulibaly
↓ 88' 🟨 35'
M
11
K. Ndri
M
69
W. Geubbels
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
33
P. Penev
G
12
C. Lupo
8
S. Fofana
M
3
C. Ndaba
D
18
G. Jean
D
16
O. Gandelman
M
28
O. Gorter
↑ 74'
M
77
M. Kaba
↑ 88'
M
34
H. Laerke
↑ 74'
F
9
N. Stulic
↑ 46'
F
22
P. Esteban
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Palermo
23.08.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
1
0
W
11.08.26
Fri
Palermo
Juventus
0
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Palermo
Melbourne City
2
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Palermo
Iraklis 1908
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Palermo
1. FC Nürnberg
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Palermo
Paradiso
7
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Palermo
FC Ingolstadt 04
0
1
L
20.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Catanzaro
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Catanzaro
0
3
L
08.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Venezia
0
2
L
01.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Catanzaro
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Reggiana
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Cesena
2
0
W
10.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Frosinone
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Padova
1
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Monza
0
3
L
08.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Carrarese
1
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Mantova
2
1
W
Last matches: Lecce
23.08.26
Ser
Lecce
Venezia
2
0
W
09.08.26
Fri
Lecce
SS Monopoli
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Bistrica
5
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Istra 1961
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Lecce
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0
1
L
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Genoa
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
20.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Atalanta
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
08.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
2
1
W
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
21.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
2
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
H2H: Palermo vs Lecce
17.08.26
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
W
02.03.19
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
1
W
21.10.18
H2H
Lecce
Palermo
1
2
W
18.03.12
H2H
Lecce
Palermo
1
1
D
27.10.11
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
W
06.02.11
H2H
Lecce
Palermo
2
4
W
26.09.10
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
2
D
Last matches: Palermo
23.08.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Palermo
Iraklis 1908
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Palermo
1. FC Nürnberg
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Palermo
Paradiso
7
0
W
20.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Catanzaro
2
0
W
01.05.26
Ser
Palermo
Catanzaro
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Cesena
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Palermo
Avellino
2
0
W
17.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Juve Stabia
2
2
D
04.03.26
Ser
Palermo
Mantova
2
1
W
21.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Sudtirol
3
0
W
14.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Virtus Entella
3
0
W
07.02.26
Ser
Palermo
Empoli
3
2
W
18.01.26
Ser
Palermo
Spezia
1
0
W
27.12.25
Ser
Palermo
Padova
1
0
W
12.12.25
Ser
Palermo
Sampdoria
1
0
W
29.11.25
Ser
Palermo
Carrarese
5
0
W
01.11.25
Ser
Palermo
Pescara
5
0
W
28.10.25
Ser
Palermo
Monza
0
3
L
19.10.25
Ser
Palermo
Modena
1
1
D
H2H at home: Palermo
17.08.26
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
W
02.03.19
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
1
W
27.10.11
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
W
26.09.10
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
2
D
Last matches: Lecce
23.08.26
Ser
Lecce
Venezia
2
0
W
19.07.26
Fri
Lecce
Szombathelyi Haladas
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Sassuolo
3
2
W
01.05.26
Ser
Lecce
Pisa
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Lecce
Bologna
0
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Lecce
AS Roma
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Lecce
Napoli
1
2
L
28.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Como
1
3
L
16.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Cagliari
2
0
W
01.02.26
Ser
Lecce
Torino
0
1
L
18.01.26
Ser
Lecce
AC Milan
0
1
L
14.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Inter
0
1
L
03.01.26
Ser
Lecce
Juventus
1
1
D
07.12.25
Ser
Lecce
Cremonese
0
2
L
23.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Lazio
0
2
L
02.11.25
Ser
Lecce
Fiorentina
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Udinese
2
3
L
04.10.25
Ser
Lecce
Parma
1
0
W
23.09.25
Cop
Lecce
AC Milan
0
3
L
H2H away: Lecce
17.08.26
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
L
02.03.19
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
1
L
27.10.11
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
0
L
26.09.10
H2H
Palermo
Lecce
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.33
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.51
Draw 2.23
Home 3.06
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.31
Over 2.0 1.50
Over 2.25 1.75
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 2.75 2.29
Over 3.0 2.80
Over 3.5 3.47
Over 4.5 6.68
Under 1.5 3.43
Under 2.0 2.61
Under 2.25 2.08
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.30
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.20
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.40
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 7.00
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.86
Draw 3.20
Home 2.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.63
Draw 2.01
Home 3.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.39
Home 2.71
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.36
Over 2.0 1.46
Over 2.25 1.74
Over 2.5 1.97
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.66
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.28
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.65
Over 4.25 6.00
Over 4.5 6.35
Over 5.0 10.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 0.75 7.90
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 4.24
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 2.04
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.39
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.25
Under 3.75 1.16
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.06
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 3.25
Home 2.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.08
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.43
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.73
Over 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.25
Over 3.0 2.75
Over 3.25 3.05
Over 3.5 3.35
Over 3.75 4.10
Over 4.0 5.50
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.10
Under 1.5 3.10
Under 2.0 2.40
Under 2.25 1.96
Under 2.5 1.72
Under 2.75 1.55
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.30
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.09
Under 4.5 1.08