Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Paide
Vaprus
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Paide
26 matches
Vaprus
23 matches
| Paide | Statistic | Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 11 |
| 42 | Goals For | 40 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.87 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Paide's more proactive style and Vaprus's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vaprus. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control.
Placed 4 with 28 points from 17 outings, Paide continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
From their first 17 matches, Vaprus have collected 23 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 21:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Paide won 9 times, Vaprus won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:11 from Paide's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Paide
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Flora Tallinn
Paide
Laagri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Kuressaare
Paide
Trans Narva
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
Nõmme United
Paide
Tammeka
Paide
Flora Tallinn
Paide
Laagri
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Tammeka
Paide
Nõmme United
Paide
Kuressaare
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
Trans Narva
Paide
Vaprus
Paide
Super Nova
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Paide
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Paide
Laagri
Paide
Kuressaare
Paide
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
Tammeka
Paide
Flora Tallinn
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Nõmme United
Paide
Trans Narva
Paide
Super Nova
Paide
Flora Tallinn
Paide
Kalju Nomme
Paide
Metta / LU
Paide
Rīgas FS
Paide
Tartu Welco
Paide
AIK Stockholm
Paide
Magpies
Vaprus
Tammeka
Vaprus
Laagri
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Nõmme United
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 46 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 34 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 |
Paide
Home
|
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 30:23 | 7 | 32 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 5 |
Vaprus
Away
|
19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12:46 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
L
|