Pafos vs Aris Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Pafos
Aris
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pafos
47 matches
Aris
37 matches
| Pafos | Statistic | Aris |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 16 |
| 12 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 76 | Goals For | 64 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.47 | Shots On Goal | 2.12 |
| 6.76 | Total Shots | 5.71 |
| 2.89 | Corners | 2.09 |
| 29.5% | Ball Possession | 19.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aris. Aris arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Pafos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 55 points from 32 matches. The record of 16 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 60:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anderson Silva (9 goals), J. Correia (9 goals), D. Luckassen (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Aris sit 6 with 48 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with a 55:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Montnor (8 goals), R. Effaghe (8 goals), Andronikos Kakoullis (6 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pafos won 6 times, Aris won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Pafos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Pafos
Home
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Aris
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|