CYPRUS 1. DIVISION
18.09.2026 17:00
FT
0 - 2
Stelios Kyriakidis
Referee: Marios Christoforou, Cyprus
Pafos
Match Timeline
AEL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
N. Ioannou
Pafos
🟨
42'
Bruno
Pafos
🔄
46'
N. Ioannou ↔ Biel
Pafos
46'
F. R. Mughe
AEL
53'
L. Singh
AEL
🔄
55'
V. Dragomir ↔ Guga
Pafos
🔄
55'
I. Sunjic ↔ Anderson Silva
Pafos
🔄
66'
F. R. Mughe ↔ Sergio Conceicao
AEL
🔄
66'
N. Moumi Ngamaleu ↔ D. Quina
Pafos
🔄
66'
Bruno ↔ Y. Zague
Pafos
🟨
70'
Lele
Pafos
🟨
71'
J. Tavares
AEL
🔄
75'
L. Singh ↔ J. Tavares
AEL
🔄
75'
J. Tavares ↔ S. Denswil
AEL
🔄
90'
G. Papageorgiou ↔ A. Karo
AEL
🔄
90'
S. Jovetic ↔ D. Paroutis
AEL
🟨
90+2'
Guga
Pafos

Pafos vs AEL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds 1.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
1.35
BTTS Yes
75%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Pafos Win 59.5%
Draw 4.3%
AEL Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pafos1.47
AEL1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pafos Pafos
WWDLW
18 GF / 14 GA
AEL AEL
WLDWL
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
2.67
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pafos Pafos 13 matches
AEL AEL 5 matches
Pafos Statistic AEL
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 1
18 Goals For 9
14 Goals Against 8
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
5 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 1
2.67 Shots On Goal 0
5.83 Total Shots 0
2.17 Corners 0
33.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pafos won 13 times, AEL won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Pafos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Pafos 4-5-1 / AEL 3-4-3
H2H summary: Pafos wins 13, draws 0, AEL wins 2

Standings

1-division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 0 1 9:4 5 9
W L W W
2
AEL Away
4 3 0 1 6:7 -1 9
W W L W
3
Pafos Home
4 2 1 1 4:2 2 7
L W D W
4 4 1 3 0 7:5 2 6
D D W D
5 3 1 2 0 4:1 3 5
D W D
6 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
D W D
7 4 1 2 1 9:7 2 5
L D D W
8 4 1 1 2 10:7 3 4
D L W L
9 4 1 1 2 8:9 -1 4
W L L D
10 3 1 1 1 4:6 -2 4
W L D
11 3 0 3 0 6:6 0 3
D D D
12 4 1 0 3 3:9 -6 3
L W L L
13 3 0 2 1 3:6 -3 2
D D L
14 3 0 0 3 1:6 -5 0
L L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)