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18.09.2026 17:00
FT
0 - 2
Stelios Kyriakidis
Referee: Marios Christoforou, Cyprus
Pafos
Match Timeline
AEL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Nikolas Ioannou
Pafos
🟨
42'
Bruno
Pafos
🔄
46'
N. Ioannou ↔ Biel
Pafos
⚽
46'
F. R. Mughe
AEL
⚽
53'
L. Singh
AEL
🔄
55'
V. Dragomir ↔ Guga
Pafos
🔄
55'
I. Sunjic ↔ Anderson Silva
Pafos
🔄
65'
F. R. Mughe ↔ Sergio Conceicao
AEL
🔄
66'
Bruno ↔ Y. Zague
Pafos
🔄
66'
N. Moumi Ngamaleu ↔ D. Quina
Pafos
🟨
70'
Lelê
Pafos
🟨
71'
João Tavares
AEL
🔄
75'
J. Tavares ↔ S. Denswil
AEL
🔄
75'
L. Singh ↔ J. Tavares
AEL
🟨
90+2'
Guga
Pafos
🔄
90'
G. Papageorgiou ↔ A. Karo
AEL
🔄
90'
S. Jovetic ↔ D. Paroutis
AEL

Pafos vs AEL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Pafos Win 59.5%
Draw 4.3%
AEL Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pafos1.47
AEL1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pafos Pafos
W D W W D
9 GF / 3 GA
AEL AEL
W L W W D
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
5
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
3
2.78
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pafos Pafos 13 matches
AEL AEL 5 matches
Pafos Statistic AEL
5 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 1
18 Goals For 9
14 Goals Against 8
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
5 BTTS Yes 2
8 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 1
2.78 Shots On Goal 0
5.56 Total Shots 0
1.89 Corners 0
27.9% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pafos won 13 times, AEL won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Pafos's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Pafos 4-5-1 / AEL 3-4-3
H2H summary: Pafos wins 13, draws 0, AEL wins 2

Standings

1-division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 19:8 11 20
W D W D W
2 8 4 4 0 21:10 11 16
D W W W D
3 8 4 3 1 15:6 9 15
W L D W W
4 8 4 3 1 12:10 2 15
W W D W D
5
AEL Away
8 5 0 3 11:13 -2 15
L L W W W
6 8 4 2 2 18:10 8 14
W W D W D
7
Pafos Home
8 3 4 1 9:5 4 13
D D D W L
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L W L L
9 9 2 2 5 14:18 -4 8
W L D L L
10 9 1 3 5 6:20 -14 6
L W L L L
11 8 2 0 6 7:15 -8 6
L W L L L
12 9 1 3 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L L L
13 8 0 6 2 11:13 -2 6
L D D L D
14 8 1 2 5 8:17 -9 5
D D W L L
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Cyprus League (Relegation Group)