Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.9%
|
- |
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Pafos
43 matches
AEK Larnaca
45 matches
| Pafos | Statistic | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 23 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 71 | Goals For | 69 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 32 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 2.41 | Shots On Goal | 1.38 |
| 6.61 | Total Shots | 4.07 |
| 2.83 | Corners | 1.57 |
| 29% | Ball Possession | 19.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AEK Larnaca. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pafos expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and AEK Larnaca in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward AEK Larnaca having the stronger overall control.
Pafos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 53 points from 29 matches. The record of 16 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 54:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anderson Silva (9 goals), J. Correia (9 goals), D. Quina (6 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
AEK Larnaca come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 57 points after 29 matches. They have recorded 17 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 51:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Hrvoje Miličević (9 goals), Riad Bajić (9 goals), Enzo Cabrera (8 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pafos won 3 times, AEK Larnaca won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Pafos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Pafos
2
7
6
5
1
4
Lineups
Pafos
HNK Hajduk Split
Pafos
Slovan Bratislava
Pafos
Jagiellonia
Pafos
FK Jablonec
Pafos
Cracovia Krakow
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Akritas
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Anorthosis
Pafos
AEL
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Beitar Jerusalem
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Krasava Ypsonas
Pafos
Anorthosis
Pafos
Omonia Nicosia
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Pafos
Slavia Praha
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Omonia Aradippou
Pafos
Akritas
Pafos
Monaco
Pafos
Aris
Pafos
Villarreal
Pafos
AEL
Pafos
Ethnikos Achna
Pafos
Bayern München
Pafos
Olympiakos
Pafos
Enosis
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
PAOK
AEK Larnaca
Helmond Sport
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
AEK Larnaca
Ethnikos Achna
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
AEK Larnaca
Aris
AEK Larnaca
AEL
AEK Larnaca
BK Hacken
AEK Larnaca
Akritas
AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63:17 | 46 | 61 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
AEK Larnaca
Away
|
26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 53 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Pafos
Home
|
26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53:24 | 29 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45:27 | 18 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48:26 | 22 | 43 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 33 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:33 | -10 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 28 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 28 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23:48 | -25 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5:67 | -62 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|