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ITALY › SERIE B
12.09.2026 13:00
Padova
FT
1 - 0
Ascoli
Stadio Euganeo
Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Padova
Match Timeline
Ascoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
F. Di Mariano ↔ M. Cocchi
Padova
🔄
46'
M. Pompetti ↔ N. Galazzi
Padova
🟨
53'
Emanuele Zuelli
Padova
🔄
56'
C. Pastina ↔ A. Capelli
Padova
🟨
59'
Alessandro Dellavalle
Padova
🟨
59'
Giacomo De Pieri
Ascoli
🔄
60'
K. Lasagna ↔ G. Caprari
Padova
🟨
62'
Nicholas Rizzo
Ascoli
⚽
63'
N. Galazzi · Assist: M. Cocchi
Padova
🔄
71'
G. De Pieri ↔ A. Silipo
Ascoli
🔄
72'
K. Varas ↔ P. Fusi
Padova
🔄
72'
T. Milanese ↔ A. Oliveri
Ascoli
🔄
72'
D. Bolsius ↔ M. Brunori
Ascoli
🔄
72'
M. A. Chakir ↔ G. Gori
Ascoli
🟨
77'
Pietro Fusi
Padova
🔄
82'
S. Damiani ↔ G. Acampora
Ascoli
🟨
90'
Alessandro Capelli
Padova

Padova vs Ascoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Padova Win 59.9%
Draw 18%
Ascoli Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Padova1.32
Ascoli1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Padova Padova
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Ascoli Ascoli
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Padova Padova 8 matches
Ascoli Ascoli 7 matches
Padova Statistic Ascoli
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
10 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 10
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 3
9.5 Total Shots 10.2
4.75 Corners 4.6
45% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 1 times, Ascoli won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Padova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Padova 3-5-2 / Ascoli 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Padova wins 1, draws 0, Ascoli wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Palermo
6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2
Mantova
6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3
Modena
6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4
Sudtirol
6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5
Ascoli Away
6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6
Avellino
6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7
Pisa
6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8
Benevento
6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9
Hellas Verona
6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10
Padova Home
6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11
Cesena
6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12
Arezzo
6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13
Empoli
6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14
Virtus Entella
6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15
Cremonese
6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16
Vicenza Virtus
6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17
Carrarese
6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18
Sampdoria
6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19
Catanzaro
6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20
Juve Stabia
6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation