ITALY SERIE B
12.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Euganeo
Padova
Match Timeline
Ascoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
N. Calabro
Padova
🔄
45'
Marco Pompetti ↔ Nicolas Galazzi
Padova
🔄
45'
Francesco Di Mariano ↔ Matteo Cocchi
Padova
🟨
53'
Emanuele Zuelli
Padova
🔄
56'
Christian Pastina ↔ Alessandro Capelli
Padova
🟨
59'
Giacomo De Pieri
Ascoli
🟨
59'
Alessandro Dellavalle
Padova
🔄
60'
Kevin Lasagna ↔ Gianluca Caprari
Padova
🟨
62'
Nicholas Rizzo
Ascoli
63'
Nicolas Galazzi · Assist: Matteo Cocchi
Padova
🔄
71'
Giacomo De Pieri ↔ Andrea·Silipo
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Don Bolsius ↔ Matteo Brunori
Ascoli
🔄
72'
amine chakir ↔ Gabriele Gori
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Tommaso Milanese ↔ Andrea Oliveri
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Kevin Varas ↔ Pietro Fusi
Padova
🟨
77'
Pietro Fusi
Padova
🔄
82'
Samuele Damiani ↔ Gennao Acampora
Ascoli
🟨
90'
Alessandro Capelli
Padova

Padova vs Ascoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds 2.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.09
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
2.26
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.09
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.1%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Padova Win 59.9%
Draw 18%
Ascoli Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Padova1.32
Ascoli1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Padova Padova
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Ascoli Ascoli
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Padova Padova 8 matches
Ascoli Ascoli 7 matches
Padova Statistic Ascoli
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
10 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 10
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 3
9.5 Total Shots 10.2
4.75 Corners 4.6
45% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 1 times, Ascoli won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Padova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Padova 3-5-2 / Ascoli 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Padova wins 1, draws 0, Ascoli wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 8:3 5 10
W D W W
2 4 3 1 0 8:4 4 10
D W W W
3 4 2 2 0 5:2 3 8
D W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D W W L
5 4 2 1 1 4:4 0 7
W L D W
6 4 2 1 1 6:3 3 7
D L W W
7 4 2 1 1 4:3 1 7
L W D W
8 4 1 3 0 6:5 1 6
D D W D
9 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
L W W L
10 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
L W L W
11 4 2 0 2 5:9 -4 6
W L L W
12 4 1 2 1 6:8 -2 5
D D L W
13 4 1 1 2 5:5 0 4
W L D L
14 4 1 1 2 7:6 1 4
W D L L
15 4 1 1 2 5:7 -2 4
D W L L
16 4 1 1 2 8:6 2 4
L W D L
17 4 1 0 3 4:7 -3 3
W L L L
18 4 1 1 2 3:6 -3 2
D L W L
19 4 0 1 3 2:5 -3 1
L L D L
20 4 0 1 3 3:8 -5 1
L L L D
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation