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12.09.2026 13:00
Stadio Euganeo
Referee: Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Padova
Match Timeline
Ascoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Francesco Di Mariano ↔ Matteo Cocchi
Padova
🔄
46'
Marco Pompetti ↔ Nicolas Galazzi
Padova
🟨
53'
Emanuele Zuelli
Padova
🔄
56'
Christian Pastina ↔ Alessandro Capelli
Padova
🟨
59'
Alessandro Dellavalle
Padova
🟨
59'
Giacomo De Pieri
Ascoli
🔄
60'
Kevin Lasagna ↔ Gianluca Caprari
Padova
🟨
62'
Nicholas Rizzo
Ascoli
⚽
63'
Nicolas Galazzi · Assist: Matteo Cocchi
Padova
🔄
71'
Giacomo De Pieri ↔ Andrea Silipo
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Kevin Varas ↔ Pietro Fusi
Padova
🔄
72'
Tommaso Milanese ↔ Andrea Oliveri
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Amine Chakir ↔ Gabriele Gori
Ascoli
🔄
72'
Don Bolsius ↔ Matteo Luigi Brunori
Ascoli
🟨
77'
Pietro Fusi
Padova
🔄
82'
Samuele Damiani ↔ Gennaro Acampora
Ascoli
🟨
90'
Alessandro Capelli
Padova

Padova vs Ascoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Padova Win 59.9%
Draw 18%
Ascoli Win 22.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Padova1.32
Ascoli1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Padova Padova
L D W L D
6 GF / 8 GA
Ascoli Ascoli
W D W L W
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
2.75
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Padova Padova 8 matches
Ascoli Ascoli 7 matches
Padova Statistic Ascoli
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
10 Goals For 9
15 Goals Against 10
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
5 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.75 Shots On Goal 3
9.5 Total Shots 10.2
4.75 Corners 4.6
45% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Padova won 1 times, Ascoli won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Padova's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: Padova 3-5-2 / Ascoli 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Padova wins 1, draws 0, Ascoli wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 24:12 12 26
W D W W W
2 10 6 2 2 18:10 8 20
D W W L W
3 10 5 4 1 16:6 10 19
D W W D D
4 10 5 3 2 15:11 4 18
D L W L W
5 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W D L D W
6 10 4 3 3 14:10 4 15
L D W D W
7 10 4 3 3 19:13 6 15
W W D D L
8 10 4 3 3 18:15 3 15
L D D W W
9 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W L L
10 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
D L D L D
11 10 3 3 4 10:11 -1 12
W W L L D
12 10 2 6 2 11:14 -3 12
D W L D L
13 10 3 2 5 9:19 -10 11
D L L W D
14 10 2 4 4 11:12 -1 10
L D L W D
15 10 3 1 6 9:13 -4 10
L W L W W
16 10 3 4 3 11:11 0 9
D L W W D
17 10 2 3 5 13:20 -7 9
L L W D L
18 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
D L L D L
19 10 2 2 6 10:18 -8 8
W L D L L
20 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D D L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation