CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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Starlight Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63%
-
BTTS Yes
82.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 18.5%
Draw 18.5%
York United Win 63%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.54
York United1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
16 GF / 32 GA
York United York United
WLDWL
16 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
11
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
8
1.29
Shots on Goal
1.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 14 matches
York United York United 14 matches
Pacific FC Statistic York United
0 Wins 4
3 Draws 4
11 Losses 6
16 Goals For 16
32 Goals Against 30
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
11 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
1.29 Shots On Goal 1.38
3.93 Total Shots 2.54
1.64 Corners 0.69
21.5% Ball Possession 8.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. York United carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 13 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring York United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 3 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 15:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Bustos (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

York United Analysis

With 13 points from 12 games and a place of 7, York United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 7 times, York United won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:20 from Pacific FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-2-3-1 / York United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 7, draws 3, York United wins 5
Last matches: Pacific FC
01.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
26.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
3
L
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
26.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
5
L
14.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
Last matches: York United
02.08.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
0
5
L
26.07.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
3
L
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H: Pacific FC vs York United
17.05.26
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
09.10.25
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
5
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
3
L
11.05.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
1
W
23.10.24
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
2
0
L
11.10.24
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
1
2
W
03.08.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
1
D
19.06.24
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
2
0
L
04.05.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
0
W
12.10.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
1
4
W
14.07.23
H2H
York United
Pacific FC
0
0
D
18.06.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
4
1
W
Last matches: Pacific FC
01.08.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
1
2
L
05.07.26
Can
Pacific FC
HFX Wanderers FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
17.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Pacific FC
Vancouver FC
1
3
L
26.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Supra du Quebec
2
3
L
05.04.26
Can
Pacific FC
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
H2H at home: Pacific FC
17.05.26
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
3
L
11.05.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
1
W
03.08.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
0
W
12.10.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
W
18.06.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
4
1
W
Last matches: York United
02.08.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
0
5
L
17.07.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
H2H away: York United
17.05.26
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
0
1
W
14.06.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
3
W
11.05.25
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
1
L
03.08.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
1
D
04.05.24
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
2
0
L
12.10.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
L
18.06.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
1
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Pacific FC
York United
4
1
L