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11.10.2026 23:00
Westhills Stadium
Pacific FC
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
6'
Juan David Quintana Echeverry
Pacific FC
VAR
7'
Juan David Quintana Echeverry
Pacific FC
🟨
17'
Joaquim Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
19'
Juan David Quintana Echeverry
Pacific FC
🟨
28'
Aidan Daniels
Pacific FC
🟨
38'
Tim Arnaud
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
45'
Kamron Habibullah ↔ G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
45'
Tim Arnaud ↔ Jean-Aniel Assi
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
62'
Aidan Daniels ↔ Marco Bustos
Pacific FC
🔄
62'
Juan David Quintana Echeverry ↔ Christian Greco-Taylor
Pacific FC
⚽
64'
Ballou Tabla · Assist: Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
70'
Roshawn Kadeem Delahaye Juhmi ↔ Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt
Pacific FC
🔄
70'
J. Belluz ↔ Marley Edwards
Pacific FC
🔄
75'
R. Kratt ↔ Alejandro Diaz
Pacific FC
🟨
77'
Diego Gutiérrez
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
78'
Christian Greco-Taylor
Pacific FC
🟨
79'
Emiliano·García
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
79'
Emiliano·García ↔ Juan Castro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
79'
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau ↔ Ralph Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
VAR
84'
G. Antinoro
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+2'
Ballou Tabla ↔ Tyr Walker
Atlético Ottawa

Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.92
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.8%
1.92 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Pacific FC Win 30.7%
Draw 17.5%
Atlético Ottawa Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Pacific FC1.43
Atlético Ottawa1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WWDLW
30 GF / 55 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
38 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
17
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
18
2.44
Shots on Goal
2.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Pacific FC Pacific FC 25 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 27 matches
Pacific FC Statistic Atlético Ottawa
2 Wins 12
8 Draws 4
15 Losses 11
30 Goals For 38
55 Goals Against 48
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
17 BTTS Yes 16
21 Over 1.5 23
16 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 11
1 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 7
2.44 Shots On Goal 2.15
7.32 Total Shots 5.33
2.56 Corners 2.48
33% Ball Possession 33%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlético Ottawa. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Atlético Ottawa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 40 points while Pacific FC sit 8 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Pacific FC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atlético Ottawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control.

Pacific FC Analysis

Pacific FC sit 8 with 14 points after 24 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 30:52 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Bustos (3 goals), Y. Toualy (2 goals), R. Kratt (2 goals), with creative support from M. Bustos (2 assists), Y. Toualy (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Placed 3 with 40 points from 25 outings, Atlético Ottawa continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 38:41 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Habibullah (2 goals), B. Tabla (1 goals), G. Antinoro (1 goals), with creative support from J. Assi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Pacific FC won 2 times, Atlético Ottawa won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Pacific FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
Predicted formations: Pacific FC 4-4-2 / Atlético Ottawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Pacific FC wins 2, draws 5, Atlético Ottawa wins 8

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 5 4 51:19 32 53
L L W D W
2 25 15 6 4 41:20 21 51
W D D D W
3 25 12 4 9 38:41 -3 40
W W L L D
4 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
5 26 9 5 12 40:47 -7 32
D W W L W
6 25 7 6 12 38:42 -4 27
D L W W L
7 25 6 9 10 40:56 -16 27
L W L D L
8 25 2 8 15 30:55 -25 14
L L W D L