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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
20.10.2026 18:45
Kassam Stadium

Oxford United vs Wigan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds 1.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
1.99 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oxford United Win 88%
Draw 5.2%
Wigan Win 6.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oxford United1.85
Wigan0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oxford United Oxford United
WWDLW
26 GF / 12 GA
Wigan Wigan
WLDWL
10 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oxford United Oxford United 12 matches
Wigan Wigan 13 matches
Oxford United Statistic Wigan
8 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 8
26 Goals For 10
12 Goals Against 18
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 3
12 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 8
4.25 Shots On Goal 3
10.88 Total Shots 13.56
4.13 Corners 5.78
55.9% Ball Possession 54.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Oxford United's more proactive style and Wigan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Oxford United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 14 points compared to Wigan in 24 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Wigan arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wigan. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Oxford United Analysis

Oxford United are currently 8 in the standings with 14 points from 7 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:8 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Harris (3 goals), S. Dembélé (2 goals), C. Brannagan (2 goals), with creative support from Kai Andrews (2 assists), L. Lynch (2 assists), M. Harris (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Wigan Analysis

With 4 points from 8 games and a place of 24, Wigan still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 5:13, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Weir (2 goals), M. Power (1 goals), with creative support from M. Power (1 assists), B. Burrows (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Oxford United won 3 times, Wigan won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Oxford United's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Oxford United 4-2-3-1 / Wigan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oxford United wins 3, draws 1, Wigan wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24
Wigan Away
9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two