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15.08.2026 11:30
Kassam Stadium
Referee: O. Yates
Oxford United
Match Timeline
Milton Keynes Dons
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
M. Harris
Oxford United
⚽
29'
C. Goode · Assist: D. Barlaser
Milton Keynes Dons
⚽
34'
A. Collins · Assist: R. Wintle
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
51'
Marvin Ekpiteta
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
63'
Cameron Brannagan
Oxford United
🔄
64'
J. McDonnell ↔ G. O'Donkor
Oxford United
🔄
69'
A. Collins ↔ N. Mendez-Laing
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
74'
D. Barlaser ↔ J. Matete
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
74'
S. Nombe ↔ C. Paterson
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
76'
Charlie Goode
Milton Keynes Dons
🔄
77'
B. Spencer ↔ P. Kioso
Oxford United
🔄
77'
S. Dembele ↔ M. Missanga
Oxford United
🔄
78'
C. Goode ↔ J. Sanders
Milton Keynes Dons
🟨
90+1'
Mark Harris
Oxford United
🟨
90+4'
Jay Matete
Milton Keynes Dons
⚽
90'
C. Brown · Assist: G. O'Donkor
Oxford United

Oxford United vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oxford United Win 66.9%
Draw 4.9%
Milton Keynes Dons Win 28.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oxford United1.9
Milton Keynes Dons1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oxford United Oxford United
W W W W
10 GF / 3 GA
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons
W D L L L
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oxford United Oxford United 4 matches
Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6 matches
Oxford United Statistic Milton Keynes Dons
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 3
10 Goals For 7
3 Goals Against 6
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Oxford United won 5 times, Milton Keynes Dons won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Oxford United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Oxford United 3-1-4-2 / Milton Keynes Dons 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Oxford United wins 5, draws 5, Milton Keynes Dons wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 7 4 1 24:11 13 25
W W W D W
2 12 7 2 3 24:12 12 23
D W W W W
3 12 6 4 2 10:5 5 22
D D W D D
4 13 7 1 5 21:19 2 22
W L L W W
5 12 6 3 3 25:13 12 21
W W L W D
6 12 5 5 2 20:17 3 20
L D W W D
7 10 5 4 1 18:10 8 19
D W D W D
8 11 5 3 3 20:12 8 18
L L W D D
9 11 5 3 3 20:16 4 18
W W D W D
10 11 5 2 4 21:19 2 17
W W L W L
11 13 4 5 4 18:19 -1 17
W D D L L
12 11 4 3 4 15:11 4 15
L W L W L
13 11 4 3 4 17:17 0 15
L W W L D
14 12 3 6 3 19:23 -4 15
D D W L D
15 12 4 2 6 16:14 2 14
L L W D L
16 12 3 4 5 8:19 -11 13
D L L L D
17 11 3 3 5 12:13 -1 12
W L L W W
18 11 2 6 3 12:18 -6 12
W L W L D
19 11 2 5 4 11:14 -3 11
D W L L L
20 11 3 2 6 16:20 -4 11
L W L L L
21 12 2 4 6 11:21 -10 10
D L D W L
22 11 2 3 6 10:26 -16 9
D L L L W
23 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L L D
24 11 2 1 8 8:17 -9 7
L L W L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two