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14.11.2026 20:00
Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Referee: Saul Ais Reig

Oviedo vs Girona Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.5%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.00 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.7%
1.30 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 38.5%
Draw 29%
Girona Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo1.43
Girona1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
W L D D W
11 GF / 10 GA
Girona Girona
L L W W W
9 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
9
4.86
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 19 matches
Girona Girona 20 matches
Oviedo Statistic Girona
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 6
30 Goals For 34
23 Goals Against 24
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
10 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4.86 Shots On Goal 4.57
14.43 Total Shots 13.5
5.21 Corners 3.71
46.9% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Girona. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Oviedo Analysis

So far, Oviedo have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 18 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Carlos Domínguez (5 goals), Mikel Goti (2 goals), Alberto Reina (2 goals), with creative support from Enzo Perez (2 assists), David Jiménez (2 assists), Mikel Goti (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Girona Analysis

Girona are currently 7 in the standings with 21 points from 12 matches. The record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 22:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through V. Vanat (5 goals), Y. Asprilla (4 goals), Carles Pérez (3 goals), with creative support from V. Vanat (2 assists), Álex Moreno (2 assists), Y. Asprilla (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 3 times, Girona won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Oviedo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-4-2 / Girona 4-4-2
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 3, draws 4, Girona wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 24:10 14 29
W D D W W
2 12 8 3 1 23:5 18 27
D W W L D
3 14 7 3 4 20:17 3 24
L W D W W
4 12 7 2 3 21:14 7 23
D L D L W
5 12 7 2 3 20:14 6 23
W W W W W
6 12 6 4 2 15:7 8 22
W D D W D
7 13 7 1 5 14:15 -1 22
L W L W W
8 13 6 3 4 22:12 10 21
L L W W D
9 13 6 3 4 19:16 3 21
W L D W W
10 13 6 2 5 19:21 -2 20
W W W L L
11 13 6 1 6 22:22 0 19
W D W W L
12 13 5 3 5 22:20 2 18
W W L L W
13 13 4 6 3 12:11 1 18
D L D L W
14 12 3 6 3 15:17 -2 15
D D D D L
15 14 4 3 7 14:24 -10 15
W L L D L
16 13 4 2 7 13:19 -6 14
L L L W W
17 13 3 4 6 19:25 -6 13
L D L D W
18 13 3 3 7 15:22 -7 12
D W L L L
19 12 3 2 7 17:22 -5 11
D L L W D
20 13 2 4 7 16:18 -2 10
L L W L L
21 13 3 1 9 13:24 -11 10
W W W L L
22 13 1 2 10 10:30 -20 5
L L L L L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation