SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Oviedo
Match Timeline
Getafe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Sebastián Boselli
Getafe
🔄
12'
E. Bailly ↔ D. Costas
Oviedo
🟨
14'
Federico Viñas
Oviedo
🔄
46'
M. Martin ↔ L. Vazquez
Getafe
VAR
53'
Javi López
Oviedo
🟥
54'
Javi López
Oviedo
🔄
57'
H. Hassan ↔ R. Alhassane
Oviedo
🔄
64'
T. Fernandez ↔ S. Cazorla
Oviedo
🔄
64'
Davinchi ↔ Javier Munoz
Getafe
🟨
69'
Abdel Abqar
Getafe
🟨
73'
David Costas
Oviedo
🔄
73'
A. Abqar ↔ Alex Sancris
Getafe
VAR
77'
Kwasi Sibo
Oviedo
🟥
78'
Kwasi Sibo
Oviedo
🔄
84'
I. Chaira ↔ T. Borbas
Oviedo
🔄
84'
F. Vinas ↔ A. Fores
Oviedo
🔄
85'
N. Vidal ↔ L. Ahijado
Oviedo
🔄
86'
J. Iglesias ↔ B. Mayoral
Getafe
🟨
90+2'
Álex Sancris
Getafe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
46.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 27.5%
Draw 14.1%
Getafe Win 58.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo0.92
Getafe1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
WWDLW
28 GF / 58 GA
Getafe Getafe
WLDWL
43 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.66
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
13
BTTS Yes
12
15
Over 2.5
12
3.4
Shots on Goal
2.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 35 matches
Getafe Getafe 37 matches
Oviedo Statistic Getafe
6 Wins 15
10 Draws 5
19 Losses 17
28 Goals For 43
58 Goals Against 41
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.66 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
13 BTTS Yes 12
24 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 11
17 Failed To Score 15
3.4 Shots On Goal 2.81
10.26 Total Shots 9.46
3.97 Corners 4.27
46% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Getafe arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Getafe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 44 points while Oviedo sit 20 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oviedo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Getafe in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Getafe having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Getafe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Oviedo Analysis

With 28 points from 34 games and a place of 20, Oviedo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 18 defeats with a 26:54 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Federico Viñas (9 goals), Ilyas Chaira (6 goals), Alberto Reina (4 goals), with creative support from T. Fernandez (4 assists), H. Hassan (3 assists), Ilyas Chaira (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Getafe Analysis

Getafe sit 7 with 44 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 16 defeats with a 28:36 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mauro Arambarri (6 goals), B. Mayoral (4 goals), Martín Satriano (4 goals), with creative support from L. Milla (9 assists), Mauro Arambarri (2 assists), Abdelkabir Abqar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 2 times, Getafe won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Oviedo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-2-3-1 / Getafe 5-3-2
Missing players: Oviedo 2, Getafe 2
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 2, draws 2, Getafe wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2