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06.09.2026 14:15
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Referee: J. Sanchez
Oviedo
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Aritz Aldasoro
Oviedo
🟥
26'
Aritz Aldasoro
Oviedo
🟨
29'
Aarón Escandell
Oviedo
🟨
32'
Alberto Reina
Oviedo
🔄
58'
J. Gonzalez ↔ E. Perez
Oviedo
🔄
58'
A. Fores ↔ U. Vencedor
Burgos
🔄
58'
P. Galdames ↔ J. Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
67'
Jon Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
69'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🔄
72'
D. Villahermosa ↔ Y. Lachhab
Oviedo
🔄
72'
A. Isfan ↔ V. Mingo
Oviedo
🔄
72'
J. Gragera ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🔄
72'
C. Sanchez ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
75'
P. Saenz ↔ D. Jimenez
Oviedo
🔄
75'
A. Ahmed ↔ E. Pedrola
Oviedo
🔄
81'
G. Sierra ↔ S. del Cerro
Burgos
🟨
85'
Alberto Dadie
Burgos
🟨
87'
Estanis Pedrola
Oviedo
🟨
90'
Víctor Mollejo
Burgos

Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 43.4%
Draw 14.2%
Burgos Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo1.13
Burgos0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
W L D W L
5 GF / 5 GA
Burgos Burgos
D L W D L
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 8 matches
Burgos Burgos 8 matches
Oviedo Statistic Burgos
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 9
5 Goals Against 9
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
14 Total Shots 10.67
5.67 Corners 3.67
56% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 4 times, Burgos won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Oviedo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-2-3-1 / Burgos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 4, draws 1, Burgos wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 23:5 18 27
D W W L D
2 12 8 2 2 23:10 13 26
D D W W W
3 12 7 2 3 21:14 7 23
D L D L W
4 12 7 2 3 20:14 6 23
W W W W W
5 12 6 4 2 15:7 8 22
W D D W D
6 12 7 1 4 13:13 0 22
W L W W W
7 12 6 3 3 22:11 11 21
L W W D D
8 12 6 3 3 17:13 4 21
D W W L L
9 12 5 3 4 17:15 2 18
L D W W L
10 12 4 5 3 12:11 1 17
L D L W D
11 12 5 2 5 17:21 -4 17
W W L L D
12 12 5 1 6 19:22 -3 16
D W W L W
13 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L L W D
14 11 3 5 3 13:15 -2 14
D D D L
15 12 4 2 6 13:17 -4 14
L L W W W
16 12 3 4 5 18:23 -5 13
D L D W L
17 12 3 3 6 10:20 -10 12
L D L L L
18 12 3 2 7 15:22 -7 11
W L L L L
19 12 2 4 6 15:16 -1 10
L W L L W
20 11 3 1 7 15:20 -5 10
L L W D
21 12 2 1 9 10:23 -13 7
W W L L L
22 12 1 2 9 10:27 -17 5
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation