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06.09.2026 14:15
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Referee: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos, Spain
Oviedo
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
25'
Aritz Aldasoro
Oviedo
🟥
26'
Aritz Aldasoro
Oviedo
🟨
29'
Aarón Escandell
Oviedo
🟨
32'
Alberto Reina
Oviedo
🔄
58'
J. Gonzalez ↔ E. Perez
Oviedo
🔄
58'
A. Fores ↔ U. Vencedor
Burgos
🔄
58'
P. Galdames ↔ J. Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
67'
Jon Karrikaburu
Burgos
🟨
69'
Grego Sierra
Burgos
🔄
72'
D. Villahermosa ↔ Y. Lachhab
Oviedo
🔄
72'
A. Isfan ↔ V. Mingo
Oviedo
🔄
72'
J. Gragera ↔ K. Appin
Burgos
🔄
72'
C. Sanchez ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
75'
P. Saenz ↔ D. Jimenez
Oviedo
🔄
75'
A. Ahmed ↔ E. Pedrola
Oviedo
🔄
81'
G. Sierra ↔ S. del Cerro
Burgos
🟨
85'
Alberto Dadie
Burgos
🟨
87'
Estanis Pedrola
Oviedo
🟨
90'
Víctor Mollejo
Burgos

Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oviedo Win 43.4%
Draw 14.2%
Burgos Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oviedo1.13
Burgos0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oviedo Oviedo
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
9 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oviedo Oviedo 8 matches
Burgos Burgos 8 matches
Oviedo Statistic Burgos
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
9 Goals For 9
5 Goals Against 9
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
14.33 Total Shots 10.67
5.67 Corners 3.67
56% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oviedo won 4 times, Burgos won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Oviedo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Oviedo 4-2-3-1 / Burgos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oviedo wins 4, draws 1, Burgos wins 4

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 16:5 11 21
W W W W W
2 9 7 0 2 19:10 9 21
L W W W W
3 9 6 2 1 15:4 11 20
L D W W W
4 9 5 2 2 11:4 7 17
W D L W W
5 9 4 4 1 10:7 3 16
W D D W L
6 9 5 1 3 9:8 1 16
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 15:9 6 15
D D W W L
8 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
L L W W W
9 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W L W L W
10 9 4 2 3 14:13 1 14
W W L L D
11 9 3 3 3 13:11 2 12
W D W D L
12 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D L D L W
13 9 3 2 4 14:15 -1 11
W L D L L
14 9 3 2 4 10:11 -1 11
W W L L W
15 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L D L L W
16 9 3 2 4 6:14 -8 11
L L L W L
17 9 3 1 5 13:15 -2 10
W D W L L
18 9 3 0 6 14:20 -6 9
L W L W L
19 9 2 2 5 12:17 -5 8
L L L L W
20 9 1 4 4 11:11 0 7
L W D L L
21 9 1 2 6 8:20 -12 5
L D W D L
22 9 0 1 8 5:20 -15 1
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation