ROMANIA LIGA I
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Stadionul Otelul

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 52.7%
Draw 9.9%
Rapid Win 37.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul1.06
Rapid1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
12 GF / 9 GA
Rapid Rapid
WLDWL
16 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
6
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
5
3.29
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 10 matches
Rapid Rapid 13 matches
Oţelul Statistic Rapid
3 Wins 5
6 Draws 5
1 Losses 3
12 Goals For 16
9 Goals Against 11
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
6 BTTS Yes 8
6 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
3.29 Shots On Goal 5.43
11.14 Total Shots 15.14
4.57 Corners 6.29
55.1% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rapid. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul sit 6 with 10 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Patrick Fernandes (3 goals), Pedro Nuno (1 goals), Andrézinho (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Nuno (4 assists), Andrézinho (1 assists), Andrei Ciobanu (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Rapid Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 6 outings, Rapid continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alex Dobre (3 goals), Olimpiu Moruțan (2 goals), Claudiu Petrila (1 goals), with creative support from Constantin Grameni (2 assists), Olimpiu Moruțan (1 assists), Vladan Bubanja (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 1 times, Rapid won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Oţelul's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-3-3 / Rapid 4-3-3
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 1, draws 4, Rapid wins 1

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 2 1 14:5 9 14
D W W W D
2
Rapid Away
7 3 3 1 8:4 4 12
D W L D W
3 7 4 0 3 7:10 -3 12
W L W W L
4 7 3 2 2 14:9 5 11
D W D L W
5 7 3 2 2 10:8 2 11
L L W D D
6 7 2 4 1 8:4 4 10
D D W D D
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
D D D W D
8 7 2 4 1 9:8 1 10
D W D L D
9 7 2 4 1 4:3 1 10
W D D D D
10 7 3 1 3 4:5 -1 10
L L D W W
11 6 3 0 3 11:10 1 9
W W L L W
12 6 3 0 3 9:9 0 9
L L W W L
13 7 1 4 2 7:8 -1 7
D W L D L
14 7 1 3 3 6:10 -4 6
W D L D L
15 7 1 2 4 7:18 -11 5
D L L L W
16 7 0 1 6 4:13 -9 1
L L D L L
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Superliga (Relegation Group)