ROMANIA LIGA I
--.--.---- --:--
Stadionul Otelul
Referee: H. Fesnic
Oţelul
Match Timeline
Farul Constanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
João Lameira
Oţelul
39'
Conrado
Oţelul
🔄
54'
N. Grigoryan ↔ I. Cojocaru
Farul Constanta
56'
P. Iacob · Assist: J. Lameira
Oţelul
58'
D. Bordun
Oţelul
66'
D. Alibec
Farul Constanta
🟨
68'
Conrado Buchanelli Holz
Oţelul
🟨
68'
Răzvan Andrei Tănasă
Farul Constanta
🟨
71'
Victor Dican
Farul Constanta
🔄
74'
Luan ↔ Kazu
Oţelul
🔄
74'
D. Bordun ↔ D. Neicu
Oţelul
🔄
75'
E. Radaslavescu ↔ G. Iancu
Farul Constanta
🔄
75'
A. Isfan ↔ I. Doicaru
Farul Constanta
🔄
75'
S. Furtado ↔ D. Maftei
Farul Constanta
77'
V. Dican · Assist: D. Alibec
Farul Constanta
🔄
80'
Patrick ↔ G. Debeljuh
Oţelul
🔄
81'
R. Tanasa ↔ J. Vojtus
Farul Constanta
🔄
82'
Conrado ↔ N. Pedro
Oţelul
🟨
87'
Iustin Doicaru
Farul Constanta
🟨
90+7'
Pedro Nuno
Oţelul
🟨
90+1'
Cosmin Dur-Bozoancă
Oţelul
🟨
90+6'
Denis Alibec
Farul Constanta

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 82.5%
Draw 0%
Farul Constanta Win 17.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul1.26
Farul Constanta1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
48 GF / 44 GA
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta
WLDWL
45 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
15
BTTS Yes
22
18
Over 2.5
16
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.03

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 37 matches
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta 37 matches
Oţelul Statistic Farul Constanta
13 Wins 11
10 Draws 10
14 Losses 16
48 Goals For 45
44 Goals Against 44
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
15 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 7
13 Clean Sheets 7
13 Failed To Score 10
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.03
13.59 Total Shots 14.03
4.35 Corners 5.46
53.6% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Farul Constanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Farul Constanta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oţelul expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Farul Constanta in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Farul Constanta having the stronger overall control.

Oţelul Analysis

So far, Oţelul have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 41 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, while the 39:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Conrado Buchanelli Holz (7 goals), Paulinho (7 goals), Patrick (6 goals), with creative support from Andrezinho (3 assists), S. Bana (3 assists), Joao Paulo (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Farul Constanta Analysis

With 37 points from 30 games and a place of 11, Farul Constanta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 39:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Isfan (10 goals), I. Vina (7 goals), I. Larie (6 goals), with creative support from E. Radaslavescu (6 assists), A. Isfan (4 assists), Narek Grigoryan (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 2 times, Farul Constanta won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Oţelul's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-2-3-1 / Farul Constanta 4-3-3
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 2, draws 5, Farul Constanta wins 2
Stats
Oţelul Oţelul
Farul Constanta Farul Constanta
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 6
17 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 9
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
316 Total passes 386
241 Passes accurate 312
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Oţelul
Formation
Farul Constanta
C. Dur-Bozoanca
C. Dur-Bozoanca
M. Zhelev
M. Zhelev
Ne Lopes
Ne Lopes
P. Iacob
P. Iacob
Conrado
Conrado
J. Lameira
🎯
J. Lameira
D. Zivulic
D. Zivulic
D. Bordun
D. Bordun
Andrezinho
Andrezinho
Luan
Luan
Patrick
Patrick
R. Munteanu
R. Munteanu
S. Furtado
S. Furtado
I. Larie
I. Larie
D. Sirbu
D. Sirbu
C. Ganea
C. Ganea
V. Dican
V. Dican
E. Radaslavescu
E. Radaslavescu
N. Grigoryan
N. Grigoryan
A. Isfan
A. Isfan
R. Tanasa
R. Tanasa
D. Alibec
🎯
D. Alibec
Oţelul 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Dur-Bozoanca
🟨 90+1'
G
2
M. Zhelev
D
4
Ne Lopes
D
6
P. Iacob
⚽ 56'
D
97
Conrado
⚽ 39' ↓ 82' 🟨 68'
D
8
J. Lameira
🎯 56' 🟨 14'
M
31
D. Zivulic
M
24
D. Bordun
⚽ 58' ↓ 74'
M
7
Andrezinho
M
99
Luan
↓ 74'
M
9
Patrick
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
22
G. Ursu
G
27
N. Pedro
↑ 82' 🟨 90+7'
M
20
D. Sandu
F
80
B. Paz
M
96
G. Debeljuh
↑ 80'
F
88
Kazu
↑ 74'
D
16
D. Neicu
D
23
C. Chira
M
14
A. Rus
D
15
D. Neicu
↑ 74'
F
Farul Constanta 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
R. Munteanu
G
93
S. Furtado
↓ 75'
D
17
I. Larie
D
22
D. Sirbu
D
11
C. Ganea
D
6
V. Dican
⚽ 77' 🟨 71'
M
20
E. Radaslavescu
↓ 75'
M
30
N. Grigoryan
↓ 54'
M
31
A. Isfan
↓ 75'
M
71
R. Tanasa
↓ 81' 🟨 68'
M
7
D. Alibec
⚽ 66' 🎯 77' 🟨 90+6'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Buzbuchi
G
15
B. Tiru
D
10
G. Iancu
↑ 75'
F
8
I. Vina
M
77
Ramalho
M
19
I. Doicaru
↑ 75' 🟨 87'
F
9
J. Vojtus
↑ 81'
F
98
D. Maftei
↑ 75'
D
5
S. Dutu
D
27
I. Cojocaru
↑ 54'
F
Last matches: Oţelul
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
18.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Petrolul Ploiesti
5
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
25.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
0
4
L
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
27.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
0
4
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
05.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
02.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
0
D
26.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
3
0
W
18.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
0
1
L
Last matches: Farul Constanta
19.07.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Universitatea Cluj
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
0
3
L
08.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
0
0
D
27.06.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Fratria
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Chindia Targoviste
1
1
D
23.05.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Chindia Targoviste
3
3
D
18.05.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Metaloglobus
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
FC Botosani
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Uta Arad
0
0
D
20.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
FCSB
2
3
L
10.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
AFC Hermannstadt
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Unirea Slobozia
0
1
L
29.03.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Ludogorets
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Csikszereda
1
1
D
15.03.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Petrolul Ploiesti
2
0
W
06.03.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Csikszereda
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
CFR 1907 Cluj
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
H2H: Oţelul vs Farul Constanta
03.07.26
H2H
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
0
0
D
09.05.26
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
23.11.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
2
D
20.07.25
H2H
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
3
2
L
16.05.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
22.11.24
H2H
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
0
1
W
22.07.24
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
24.02.24
H2H
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
1
L
Last matches: Oţelul
18.07.26
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Oţelul
FC Bacau
3
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
1
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Oţelul
AFC Hermannstadt
0
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
Uta Arad
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Oţelul
FCSB
1
4
L
26.01.26
Lig
Oţelul
Csikszereda
3
0
W
20.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
2
1
W
05.12.25
Lig
Oţelul
Unirea Slobozia
3
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Cluj
1
2
L
06.10.25
Lig
Oţelul
Metaloglobus
4
0
W
20.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
Universitatea Craiova
1
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
Oţelul
FC Botosani
0
1
L
24.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
CFR 1907 Cluj
4
1
W
11.08.25
Lig
Oţelul
Rapid
1
1
D
27.07.25
Lig
Oţelul
Dinamo Bucuresti
2
1
W
H2H at home: Oţelul
09.05.26
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
W
23.11.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
2
D
16.05.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
22.07.24
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
08.10.23
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
1
L
Last matches: Farul Constanta
19.07.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Universitatea Cluj
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
FC Voluntari
0
3
L
23.05.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Chindia Targoviste
3
3
D
26.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Uta Arad
0
0
D
10.04.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
AFC Hermannstadt
0
1
L
29.03.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
Ludogorets
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Csikszereda
1
1
D
06.03.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Csikszereda
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Arges Pitesti
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Unirea Slobozia
1
2
L
25.01.26
Lig
Farul Constanta
Petrolul Ploiesti
1
0
W
11.01.26
Fri
Farul Constanta
FC Botosani
0
1
L
21.12.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Universitatea Cluj
0
1
L
07.12.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Metaloglobus
1
2
L
23.11.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
2
2
D
25.10.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
CFR 1907 Cluj
2
0
W
04.10.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Rapid
1
3
L
22.09.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Dinamo Bucuresti
1
1
D
14.09.25
Lig
Farul Constanta
Universitatea Craiova
0
2
L
H2H away: Farul Constanta
09.05.26
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
3
2
L
23.11.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
2
2
D
16.05.25
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
22.07.24
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
0
D
08.10.23
H2H
Oţelul
Farul Constanta
0
1
W

Standings

Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 5 2 2 14:7 7 39
W W D D L
2 9 4 2 3 13:9 4 37
W W L D L
3 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 35
W W D D W
4 9 3 3 3 13:17 -4 33
L L D D D
5 9 5 2 2 11:8 3 33
W L W D W
6 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 25
L D D L D
7 9 1 3 5 8:11 -3 25
W D L L D
8 9 3 4 2 13:10 3 25
L W W D D
9 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 22
L D D D L
10 9 2 4 3 10:14 -4 16
W D D D L
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation