BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
City Stadium
Ostrovets FC
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
N. Yakimovich
Ostrovets FC
🟨
4'
N. Tarbyakov
Orsha
7'
N. Vekhtev
Orsha
🟨
28'
A. Volodkov
Orsha
🟨
31'
G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
31'
R. Davyskiba
Ostrovets FC
🟨
36'
A. Kilyimanov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
M. Kalinovskiy ↔ E. Kudinov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
A. Fedosenko ↔ A. Gonzhurov
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
R. Davyskiba ↔ D. Tsyk
Ostrovets FC
🔄
61'
Y. Kulesh ↔ M. Pashkevich
Orsha
61'
D. Tikhomirov · Assist: N. Vekhtev
Orsha
🔄
75'
A. Kotlyarov ↔ A. Davidovich
Ostrovets FC
🔄
75'
N. Yakimovich ↔ R. Medvedev
Ostrovets FC
🔄
90+1'
G. Zheleznikov ↔ Y. Komarov
Orsha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ostrovets FC Win 13.2%
Draw 11%
Orsha Win 75.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostrovets FC1.58
Orsha0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
5 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
4
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 5 matches
Orsha Orsha 7 matches
Ostrovets FC Statistic Orsha
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
7 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 13
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Ostrovets FC's more proactive style and Orsha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orsha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

So far, Ostrovets FC have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 6 points from 5 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:6 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Goncharik (2 goals), I. Mokshin (1 goals), M. Boychenko (1 goals), with creative support from K. Goncharik (2 assists), N. Yakimovich (1 assists), A. Fedosenko (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Orsha Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Orsha have collected 7 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Tarbyakov (2 goals), I. Ageev (1 goals), M. Pashkevich (1 goals), with creative support from I. Ageev (1 assists), P. Bordukov (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ostrovets FC won 5 times, Orsha won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:16 from Ostrovets FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
H2H summary: Ostrovets FC wins 5, draws 2, Orsha wins 2

Lineups

Ostrovets FC
Formation
Orsha
V. Drozd
V. Drozd
I. Zaytsev
I. Zaytsev
A. Fedosenko
A. Fedosenko
M. Boychenko
M. Boychenko
A. Kotlyarov
A. Kotlyarov
R. Davyskiba
R. Davyskiba
E. Mikhey
E. Mikhey
A. Kilyimanov
A. Kilyimanov
M. Kalinovskiy
M. Kalinovskiy
G. Krivtsov
G. Krivtsov
N. Yakimovich
N. Yakimovich
A. Volodkov
A. Volodkov
N. Tarbyakov
N. Tarbyakov
I. Berezun
I. Berezun
D. Tikhomirov
D. Tikhomirov
Y. Kulesh
Y. Kulesh
N. Volchenko
N. Volchenko
N. Vekhtev
🎯
N. Vekhtev
G. Zheleznikov
G. Zheleznikov
V. Shalychev
V. Shalychev
D. Rudenok
D. Rudenok
P. Bordukov
P. Bordukov
Ostrovets FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
82
V. Drozd
7
I. Zaytsev
9
A. Fedosenko
↓ 61'
11
M. Boychenko
15
A. Kotlyarov
↓ 75'
18
R. Davyskiba
⚽ 31' ↓ 61'
19
E. Mikhey
21
A. Kilyimanov
🟨 36'
22
M. Kalinovskiy
↓ 61'
44
G. Krivtsov
88
N. Yakimovich
↓ 75' 🟨 3'
Substitutes
1
I. Frolov
4
D. Prudnik
8
A. Davidovich
↑ 75'
13
E. Kudinov
↑ 61'
17
R. Medvedev
↑ 75'
20
G. Zhernosek
23
E. Isachenko
25
A. Gonzhurov
↑ 61'
81
G. Skripnik
97
D. Tsyk
↑ 61'
Orsha 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Volodkov
🟨 28'
5
N. Tarbyakov
🟨 4'
8
I. Berezun
9
D. Tikhomirov
⚽ 61'
17
Y. Kulesh
↓ 61'
18
N. Volchenko
19
N. Vekhtev
⚽ 7' 🎯 61'
77
G. Zheleznikov
↓ 90+1' 🟨 31'
82
V. Shalychev
88
D. Rudenok
93
P. Bordukov
Substitutes
52
R. Kravchenko
7
N. Bobchenok
11
D. Stain
13
V. Mitrofanov
14
A. Dambrovsky
16
M. Pashkevich
↑ 61'
69
S. Bulakhov
80
Y. Komarov
↑ 90+1'
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
10.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Shakhter Soligorsk
1
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Slonim
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
15.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Gomel II
0
0
D
02.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Volna
2
2
D
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
3
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Osipovichy
1
1
D
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H: Ostrovets FC vs Orsha
08.05.26
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
22.11.25
H2H
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
1
3
W
26.07.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
6
2
W
15.09.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
0
5
L
17.05.24
H2H
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
23.09.23
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
4
4
D
21.05.23
H2H
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
0
1
W
22.10.22
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
2
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
1
3
W
Last matches: Ostrovets FC
10.07.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Dinamo Minsk II
1
1
D
06.06.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
BATE II
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Uni Minsk
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Smorgon
0
0
D
11.04.26
1.
Ostrovets FC
Minsk II
1
2
L
H2H at home: Ostrovets FC
08.05.26
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
L
26.07.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
6
2
W
15.09.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
0
5
L
23.09.23
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
4
4
D
22.10.22
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
2
0
W
Last matches: Orsha
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H away: Orsha
08.05.26
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
1
2
W
26.07.25
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
6
2
L
15.09.24
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
0
5
W
23.09.23
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
4
4
D
22.10.22
H2H
Ostrovets FC
Orsha
2
0
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13
Orsha Away
14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation