BELARUS 1. DIVISION
12.09.2026 11:00
City Stadium
Ostrovets FC
Match Timeline
Gomel II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
Gomel II
Gomel II
28'
R. Davyskiba · Assist: A. Davidovich
Ostrovets FC
🟨
30'
Gomel II
Gomel II
🟨
56'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🟨
57'
Gomel II
Gomel II
🟨
58'
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
🟥
62'
Gomel II
Gomel II
70'
K. Lipnitskiy
Gomel II
72'
A. Fedosenko
Ostrovets FC
79'
R. Davyskiba
Ostrovets FC

Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.1%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ostrovets FC Win 59.1%
Draw 11.4%
Gomel II Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostrovets FC1.54
Gomel II1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC
WWDLW
30 GF / 33 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
32 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
16
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 23 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 23 matches
Ostrovets FC Statistic Gomel II
7 Wins 5
9 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
30 Goals For 32
33 Goals Against 44
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
16 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ostrovets FC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gomel II. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ostrovets FC Analysis

Ostrovets FC are currently 12 in the standings with 27 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 27:31 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II sit 16 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 30:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ostrovets FC won 1 times, Gomel II won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Ostrovets FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
H2H summary: Ostrovets FC wins 1, draws 1, Gomel II wins 1

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 3 5 63:30 33 51
W W W L W
2 24 14 6 4 45:24 21 48
W D W D D
3 24 15 3 6 47:38 9 48
W W W W L
4 24 13 5 6 45:29 16 44
L W W L W
5 24 13 3 8 41:34 7 42
D W W W W
6 24 12 4 8 45:30 15 40
D W L W L
7 24 10 4 10 43:37 6 34
L L L W W
8 24 10 4 10 39:41 -2 34
L W L L L
9 24 9 6 9 46:43 3 33
W D L L L
10 24 8 9 7 33:34 -1 33
W W W W L
11 24 9 5 10 41:37 4 32
D L W W L
12 24 9 2 13 35:45 -10 29
L L L D W
13 24 7 6 11 29:34 -5 27
W D L L W
14 24 7 5 12 27:43 -16 26
D L W L L
15 24 6 7 11 24:33 -9 25
L D L W D
16 24 5 6 13 33:47 -14 21
L L D L L
17 24 5 6 13 34:55 -21 21
W L D W W
18 24 5 2 17 25:61 -36 17
L L L W D