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24.10.2026 11:00
Jämtkraft Arena
Referee: Per Martin Melin
Ostersunds FK
Match Timeline
United Nordic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
18'
Yannick Adjoumani · Assist: Jonathan westerberg
Ostersunds FK
⚽
45+2'
adi fisic
United Nordic
🟨
53'
Hugo Azzi
Ostersunds FK
⚽
66'
Simon Marklund · Assist: Jonathan westerberg
Ostersunds FK
🔄
67'
Mario Palomino ↔ Jabir Abdihakim Ali
Ostersunds FK
🔄
67'
Luka Bozickovic ↔ Molls Donald Ntchamda
Ostersunds FK
⚽
73'
Jabir Abdihakim Ali · Assist: Molls Donald Ntchamda
Ostersunds FK
⚽
75'
Jonathan westerberg · Assist: Curtis Edwards
Ostersunds FK
🔄
78'
christian aphrem ↔ Ninos Issa
United Nordic
🔄
78'
Alexander Lindgren ↔ Liam Augustinius Nesvik-Andersson
United Nordic
🔄
80'
A. Begić ↔ José Masllorens
Ostersunds FK
🔄
80'
Curtis Edwards ↔ Abel William·Stensrud
Ostersunds FK
🔄
84'
adi fisic ↔ Carl Lennstrom
United Nordic
🔄
84'
Elias Durmaz ↔ Valter Silvander
United Nordic
🔄
84'
Sammi Davis ↔ Lexus Ygberg
United Nordic
🔄
86'
Hugo Azzi ↔ Abodi Qasem
Ostersunds FK

Ostersunds FK vs United Nordic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ostersunds FK Win 49.3%
Draw 14.7%
United Nordic Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostersunds FK1.26
United Nordic1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK
D D L D W
2 GF / 3 GA
United Nordic United Nordic
W L D L D
5 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
19
BTTS Yes
24
13
Over 2.5
18
2.08
Shots on Goal
2.28

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ostersunds FK Ostersunds FK 36 matches
United Nordic United Nordic 35 matches
Ostersunds FK Statistic United Nordic
13 Wins 15
13 Draws 11
10 Losses 9
42 Goals For 61
40 Goals Against 49
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
19 BTTS Yes 24
25 Over 1.5 30
13 Over 2.5 18
6 Over 3.5 13
11 Clean Sheets 8
10 Failed To Score 5
2.08 Shots On Goal 2.28
4.6 Total Shots 4.8
4.16 Corners 2.64
35% Ball Possession 25.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ostersunds FK's more proactive style and United Nordic's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring United Nordic. United Nordic arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ostersunds FK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and United Nordic in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward United Nordic having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Ostersunds FK Analysis

Ostersunds FK arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 44 points after 26 matches. The record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 34:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

United Nordic Analysis

With 36 points from 26 games and a place of 8, United Nordic still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 38:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kalipha Jawla (2 goals), Amar Eminovic (1 goals), with creative support from Christian Aphrem (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ostersunds FK won 0 times, United Nordic won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Ostersunds FK's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Ostersunds FK 3-4-3 / United Nordic 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ostersunds FK wins 0, draws 1, United Nordic wins 0

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 20 5 4 61:18 43 65
W W D W W
2 29 16 6 7 54:39 15 54
W L W W D
3 29 13 9 7 48:37 11 48
D D D D W
4 29 12 12 5 38:29 9 48
L W D D D
5 29 13 8 8 48:34 14 47
W D L W W
6 29 12 9 8 50:38 12 45
W W L W L
7 29 14 3 12 49:45 4 45
W W W L L
8 29 11 9 9 45:49 -4 42
W L W L L
9 29 10 8 11 45:40 5 38
L W D L W
10 29 10 5 14 38:48 -10 35
W L W L W
11 29 8 10 11 39:40 -1 34
D D W D L
12 29 8 8 13 37:51 -14 32
L D D L D
13 29 6 11 12 32:44 -12 29
L W D D L
14 29 5 12 12 31:44 -13 27
L L L W D
15 29 6 8 15 46:57 -11 26
L L L W L
16 29 6 1 22 21:69 -48 19
L L L L W
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