BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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Yunost Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 90.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
90.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
28.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
22.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Osipovichy Win 9.7%
Draw 52.3%
Smorgon Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Osipovichy1.34
Smorgon1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Osipovichy Osipovichy
WWDLW
10 GF / 30 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
13 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
3
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
7
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Osipovichy Osipovichy 10 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 13 matches
Osipovichy Statistic Smorgon
0 Wins 2
1 Draws 5
9 Losses 6
10 Goals For 13
30 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
7 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Smorgon. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control.

Osipovichy Analysis

Osipovichy approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 1 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 8:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Zimin (2 goals), A. Grin (1 goals), D. Denisenko (1 goals), with creative support from D. Denisenko (1 assists), A. Matlakh (1 assists), I. Alekseev (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

With 4 points from 9 games and a place of 17, Smorgon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 7:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Devyaten (2 goals), V. Kovalevich (2 goals), J. Nsangou (1 goals), with creative support from M. Dukso (2 assists), D. Kovalev (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Osipovichy won 1 times, Smorgon won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Osipovichy's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Osipovichy wins 1, draws 1, Smorgon wins 2
Last matches: Osipovichy
31.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Bumprom
1
5
L
22.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Minsk II
0
1
L
15.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
6
L
09.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Lida
1
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Niva
2
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Slutsk
2
4
L
10.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Dinamo Minsk II
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Osipovichy
Belshina
1
2
L
Last matches: Smorgon
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H: Osipovichy vs Smorgon
01.10.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
0
4
L
21.05.22
H2H
Smorgon
Osipovichy
1
0
L
07.10.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
1
1
D
10.06.17
H2H
Smorgon
Osipovichy
1
2
W
Last matches: Osipovichy
22.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Minsk II
0
1
L
15.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
6
L
02.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Niva
2
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Slutsk
2
4
L
04.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Osipovichy
01.10.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
0
4
L
07.10.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
1
1
D
Last matches: Smorgon
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H away: Smorgon
01.10.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
0
4
W
07.10.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Smorgon
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 19:5 14 22
W W L W W
2 9 7 1 1 23:12 11 22
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 19:7 12 20
W W W L W
4 9 4 4 1 21:7 14 16
W D W W L
5 9 5 1 3 18:11 7 16
W W L W L
6 9 5 1 3 12:13 -1 16
D W W W L
7 9 4 2 3 15:16 -1 14
D L L W W
8 8 4 2 2 19:11 8 14
D D W W L
9 9 4 1 4 16:13 3 13
L W W W W
10 9 3 2 4 10:14 -4 11
L L D L W
11 8 3 1 4 8:14 -6 10
L L W L W
12 9 2 4 3 13:13 0 10
W L D L D
13 9 2 3 4 11:13 -2 9
L D D L L
14 9 3 0 6 9:22 -13 9
L W W L L
15 9 2 2 5 10:15 -5 8
W L W L D
16 9 1 4 4 13:20 -7 7
L D D L W
17 9 0 4 5 7:18 -11 4
D L L D L
18 9 0 1 8 9:28 -19 1
L L L L L