BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Yunost Stadium
Osipovichy
Match Timeline
Orsha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
T. Minets
Osipovichy
🔄
46'
I. Berezun ↔ Y. Komarov
Orsha
51'
S. Lomako
Osipovichy
🟨
60'
M. Pashkevich
Orsha
62'
N. Bobchenok · Assist: G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
🔄
67'
D. Denisenko ↔ A. Zimin
Osipovichy
🟨
69'
O. Petrovsky
Osipovichy
🔄
70'
V. Drapeza ↔ A. Emeljanov
Osipovichy
🔄
70'
T. Kovardaev ↔ E. Elezarenko
Osipovichy
75'
A. Zimin · Assist: A. Emeljanov
Osipovichy
🔄
81'
Y. Kulesh ↔ S. Bulakhov
Orsha
🔄
90+3'
A. Grin ↔ A. Markevich
Osipovichy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Osipovichy Win 7.8%
Draw 7.8%
Orsha Win 84.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Osipovichy1.28
Orsha1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Osipovichy Osipovichy
WWDLW
11 GF / 37 GA
Orsha Orsha
WLDWL
10 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.83
3.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
8
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Osipovichy Osipovichy 12 matches
Orsha Orsha 12 matches
Osipovichy Statistic Orsha
0 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
11 Losses 7
11 Goals For 10
37 Goals Against 22
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
3.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
8 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orsha. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsha having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Orsha carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 11 points while Osipovichy sit 18 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Osipovichy Analysis

Osipovichy sit 18 with 1 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 9:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on A. Zimin (2 goals), A. Grin (1 goals), D. Denisenko (1 goals), with creative support from D. Denisenko (1 assists), A. Matlakh (1 assists), I. Alekseev (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orsha Analysis

Orsha sit 10 with 11 points after 9 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 9:15 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Pashkevich (3 goals), N. Tarbyakov (2 goals), D. Tikhomirov (1 goals), with creative support from N. Vekhtev (3 assists), I. Ageev (1 assists), P. Bordukov (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Osipovichy won 4 times, Orsha won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:20 from Osipovichy's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.2%)
H2H summary: Osipovichy wins 4, draws 4, Orsha wins 5

Lineups

Osipovichy
Formation
Orsha
M. Makarov
M. Makarov
D. Ssorin
D. Ssorin
M. Zhordochkin
M. Zhordochkin
V. Drapeza
V. Drapeza
D. Denisenko
D. Denisenko
T. Kovardaev
T. Kovardaev
A. Grin
A. Grin
T. Minets
T. Minets
O. Petrovsky
O. Petrovsky
S. Lomako
S. Lomako
I. Alekseev
I. Alekseev
A. Volodkov
A. Volodkov
N. Tarbyakov
N. Tarbyakov
N. Bobchenok
N. Bobchenok
I. Berezun
I. Berezun
D. Stain
D. Stain
M. Pashkevich
M. Pashkevich
Y. Kulesh
Y. Kulesh
N. Volchenko
N. Volchenko
G. Zheleznikov
🎯
G. Zheleznikov
V. Shalychev
V. Shalychev
P. Bordukov
P. Bordukov
Osipovichy 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
33
M. Makarov
2
D. Ssorin
4
M. Zhordochkin
7
V. Drapeza
↓ 70'
10
D. Denisenko
↓ 67'
11
T. Kovardaev
↓ 70'
12
A. Grin
↓ 90+3'
14
T. Minets
🟨 29'
15
O. Petrovsky
🟨 69'
25
S. Lomako
⚽ 51'
27
I. Alekseev
Substitutes
1
N. Petrashko
16
R. Gurinovich
3
A. Matlakh
5
A. Minkevich
17
A. Emeljanov
🎯 75' ↑ 70'
19
A. Zimin
⚽ 75' ↑ 67'
21
E. Elezarenko
↑ 70'
23
A. Kukhotskovolets
29
I. Korzhenevskiy
31
A. Markevich
↑ 90+3'
Orsha 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Volodkov
5
N. Tarbyakov
7
N. Bobchenok
⚽ 62'
8
I. Berezun
↓ 46'
11
D. Stain
16
M. Pashkevich
🟨 60'
17
Y. Kulesh
↓ 81'
18
N. Volchenko
77
G. Zheleznikov
🎯 62'
82
V. Shalychev
93
P. Bordukov
Substitutes
52
R. Kravchenko
9
D. Tikhomirov
13
V. Mitrofanov
14
A. Dambrovsky
69
S. Bulakhov
↑ 81'
80
Y. Komarov
↑ 46'
88
D. Rudenok
Last matches: Osipovichy
11.07.26
1.
Osipovichy
Uni Minsk
0
1
L
05.07.26
1.
Osipovichy
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
5
L
27.06.26
1.
Osipovichy
Gomel II
2
5
L
13.06.26
1.
Osipovichy
Volna
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Osipovichy
Smorgon
0
5
L
31.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Bumprom
1
5
L
22.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Minsk II
0
1
L
15.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
6
L
09.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Lida
1
2
L
02.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Niva
2
4
L
26.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
2
3
L
18.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Slutsk
2
4
L
10.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Dinamo Minsk II
0
2
L
04.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Osipovichy
Belshina
1
2
L
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H: Osipovichy vs Orsha
20.06.26
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
2
1
W
30.08.25
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
2
2
D
27.04.25
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
4
2
W
15.10.23
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
3
0
L
11.06.23
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
3
L
18.09.22
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
3
2
L
14.05.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
0
D
14.10.17
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
2
4
W
17.06.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
10.08.14
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
0
L
01.06.14
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
01.09.13
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
1
L
19.05.13
H2H
Orsha
Osipovichy
0
1
W
Last matches: Osipovichy
05.07.26
1.
Osipovichy
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
5
L
06.06.26
1.
Osipovichy
Smorgon
0
5
L
22.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Minsk II
0
1
L
15.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
6
L
02.05.26
1.
Osipovichy
Niva
2
4
L
18.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
FC Slutsk
2
4
L
04.04.26
1.
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Osipovichy
20.06.26
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
2
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
4
2
W
11.06.23
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
3
L
14.05.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
0
D
17.06.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.14
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
01.09.13
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
1
L
Last matches: Orsha
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
H2H away: Orsha
20.06.26
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
2
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
4
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
3
W
14.05.22
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
0
D
17.06.17
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.14
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
1
1
D
01.09.13
H2H
Osipovichy
Orsha
0
1
W

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13
Orsha Away
14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation