SPAIN LA LIGA
19.09.2026 12:00
Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.7%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Osasuna Win 67.7%
Draw 7.3%
Rayo Vallecano Win 24.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Osasuna1.74
Rayo Vallecano1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Osasuna Osasuna
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
13 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2.56
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Osasuna Osasuna 10 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 9 matches
Osasuna Statistic Rayo Vallecano
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
12 Goals For 13
14 Goals Against 23
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2.56
5 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
5 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.6
10.6 Total Shots 11.8
3.4 Corners 6
50% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Osasuna won 8 times, Rayo Vallecano won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Osasuna's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Osasuna 4-2-3-1 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Osasuna wins 8, draws 3, Rayo Vallecano wins 4

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 21:4 17 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 14:4 10 12
W L W W W
3 5 3 1 1 11:5 6 10
L W W D W
4 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W D L W W
6 5 2 3 0 9:6 3 9
D W W D D
7 4 3 0 1 5:5 0 9
W L W W
8 5 2 1 2 8:5 3 7
W D L L W
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W W L L
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
W L W L D
11 5 2 1 2 5:8 -3 7
L L W W D
12 6 2 1 3 6:11 -5 7
L W D W L
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
L D W D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
D D L W L
15 6 0 4 2 3:6 -3 4
D D D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:14 -6 4
L W L D L
17 5 0 3 2 2:8 -6 3
D D L D L
18 4 0 2 2 6:8 -2 2
L L D D
19 5 0 2 3 6:13 -7 2
D L L L D
20 5 0 1 4 1:10 -9 1
L L L L D
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation