Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
52.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
29.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Osasuna
39 matches
Atletico Madrid
57 matches
| Osasuna | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 30 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 17 |
| 58 | Goals For | 108 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 73 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.89 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 33 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 46 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 34 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 22 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 5.23 |
| 11.71 | Total Shots | 13.53 |
| 3.68 | Corners | 5.91 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Atletico Madrid's more proactive style and Osasuna's more cautious structure. Atletico Madrid seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico Madrid. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Osasuna expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Madrid in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Madrid having the stronger overall control. Atletico Madrid carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 63 points while Osasuna sit 11 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 42 points from 35 games and a place of 11, Osasuna still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 42:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Budimir (17 goals), R. Garcia (7 goals), Victor Muñoz (5 goals), with creative support from R. Garcia (5 assists), J. Moncayola (4 assists), Victor Muñoz (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with V. Munoz, S. Herrera unavailable.
Atletico Madrid approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 63 points from 35 matches. Their record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 58:38, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with P. Barrios, J. Cardoso, J. M. Gimenez, A. Baena unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Osasuna won 2 times, Atletico Madrid won 13 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:30 from Osasuna's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Osasuna
5
4
14
1
4
0
Lineups
Osasuna
Racing Santander
Osasuna
Getafe
Osasuna
Espanyol
Osasuna
Levante
Osasuna
Barcelona
Osasuna
Sevilla
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Real Betis
Osasuna
Alaves
Osasuna
Girona
Osasuna
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
Mallorca
Osasuna
Valencia
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Elche
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Villarreal
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Oviedo
Osasuna
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Osasuna
Racing Santander
Osasuna
Espanyol
Osasuna
Barcelona
Osasuna
Sevilla
Osasuna
Real Betis
Osasuna
Girona
Osasuna
Mallorca
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Villarreal
Osasuna
Oviedo
Osasuna
Athletic Club
Osasuna
Alaves
Osasuna
Levante
Osasuna
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Getafe
Osasuna
Elche
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
Elche
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Atletico Madrid
Levante
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
Girona
Atletico Madrid
Atlético Baleares
Atletico Madrid
PSV Eindhoven
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 |
Osasuna
Home
|
38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|