COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Orsomarso
Match Timeline
Real Cundinamarca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
31'
M. Lasso ↔ A. Ruiz
Orsomarso
🟨
45+1'
O. Acosta
Real Cundinamarca
49'
B. Campaz
Orsomarso
54'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez · Assist: R. A. Benitez Hernandez
Orsomarso
🔄
59'
K. Cuellar ↔ B. de Castro
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
59'
J. Jaramillo ↔ C. Rios
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
59'
B. Quinonez ↔ K. Vidal
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
68'
J. Contreras
Orsomarso
🟨
70'
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
71'
S. Agamez
Orsomarso
🔄
73'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↔ S. Arrechea
Orsomarso
🔄
73'
J. Rodriguez ↔ Y. Valencia
Real Cundinamarca
🟨
74'
C. Rios
Real Cundinamarca
🔄
83'
A. Ruiz ↔ J. Munoz
Orsomarso
🔄
84'
A. Villareal ↔ S. Gonzalez
Orsomarso
🔄
84'
Zarante ↔ K. M. Gomez
Orsomarso
🟨
90+1'
K. M. Gomez
Orsomarso
90+2'
B. Campaz
Orsomarso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsomarso Win 66.4%
Draw 5.9%
Real Cundinamarca Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsomarso0.98
Real Cundinamarca1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WWDLW
15 GF / 18 GA
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca
WLDWL
19 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
6
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsomarso Orsomarso 18 matches
Real Cundinamarca Real Cundinamarca 19 matches
Orsomarso Statistic Real Cundinamarca
5 Wins 3
7 Draws 9
6 Losses 7
15 Goals For 19
18 Goals Against 23
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
6 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Cundinamarca. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Cundinamarca having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Orsomarso Analysis

Orsomarso sit 11 with 21 points after 17 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 14:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Cundinamarca Analysis

Real Cundinamarca sit 12 with 17 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 18:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso won 0 times, Real Cundinamarca won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Orsomarso's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Orsomarso wins 0, draws 2, Real Cundinamarca wins 3
Last matches: Orsomarso
20.08.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
1
1
D
31.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
0
0
D
13.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
2
0
W
11.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Depor FC
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
0
4
L
01.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Envigado
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
2
2
D
09.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
04.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Tigres FC
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
3
L
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
06.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
3
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
0
2
L
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
05.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Internacional Palmira
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
2
0
W
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
H2H: Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca
22.02.26
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
0
L
07.10.25
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
1
1
D
28.04.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
22.07.24
H2H
Real Cundinamarca
Orsomarso
2
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
Last matches: Orsomarso
26.07.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Barranquilla
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Leones FC
0
0
D
31.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
1
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Ind. Yumbo
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Envigado
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Orsomarso
Union Magdalena
0
1
L
19.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Quindio
2
3
L
13.10.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Popayan
0
3
L
14.09.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Santander
1
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Huila
0
1
L
13.08.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Patriotas
2
2
D
26.07.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Jaguares
1
0
W
15.07.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Bogota FC
1
1
D
18.05.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Cucuta
2
2
D
28.04.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
11.04.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Real Cartagena
1
2
L
29.03.25
Pri
Orsomarso
Internacional Palmira
0
2
L
H2H at home: Orsomarso
28.04.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
L
04.02.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Cundinamarca
20.08.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Leones FC
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Envigado
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Ind. Yumbo
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Quindio
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Santander
1
2
L
05.02.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
1
L
02.12.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Cucuta
1
2
L
23.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Patriotas
3
0
W
12.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Real Cartagena
0
0
D
07.11.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
21.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Huila
0
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Bogota FC
3
0
W
01.10.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Barranquilla
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Tigres FC
2
0
W
22.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Popayan
1
0
W
19.08.25
Pri
Real Cundinamarca
Depor FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Real Cundinamarca
28.04.25
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
0
1
W
04.02.24
H2H
Orsomarso
Real Cundinamarca
1
1
D

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 48:30 18 50
W W L D W
2 25 14 8 3 35:20 15 50
W D D L D
3 27 14 6 7 37:24 13 48
L L D W D
4 25 13 7 5 27:16 11 46
W D D L L
5 24 12 6 6 35:21 14 42
L D L D D
6 26 8 9 9 22:26 -4 33
W L L D W
7 25 8 7 10 22:24 -2 31
W W D L D
8 25 7 7 11 30:32 -2 28
L D D L L
9 19 6 8 5 18:16 2 26
L W D W D
10 19 6 7 6 21:21 0 25
W D D W L
11 19 6 7 6 17:18 -1 25
W D D W D
12 20 3 9 8 19:25 -6 18
L D W D L
13 20 4 6 10 13:32 -19 18
L D W D W
14 19 3 8 8 18:25 -7 17
L L D W L
15 20 2 7 11 17:34 -17 13
W D D D L
16 19 1 8 10 16:31 -15 11
L D D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)