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19.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
Orsomarso
Match Timeline
Bogota FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Y. Mosquera
Bogota FC
🟨
11'
J. Barreiro
Orsomarso
🟨
20'
S. Diaz
Bogota FC
🟨
36'
Y. Mosquera
Bogota FC
🟥
36'
Y. Mosquera
Bogota FC
🟨
39'
K. Aladesanmi
Bogota FC
🟨
44'
A. Ruiz
Orsomarso
🟨
45+2'
J. Contreras
Orsomarso
🔄
46'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Villarreal
Orsomarso
🔄
46'
A. Ruiz ↔ S. Martinez
Orsomarso
🔄
46'
D. Estupinan ↔ H. Sandoval Lasso
Bogota FC
🔄
55'
J. Arango ↔ S. Perea
Bogota FC
🔄
65'
S. Arrechea ↔ B. Campaz
Orsomarso
🔄
74'
H. Ramos Jaramillo ↔ J. Palacios
Bogota FC
🔄
79'
J. Contreras ↔ M. Preciado
Orsomarso
🔄
81'
J. Perez ↔ J. Velasco
Bogota FC
🔄
81'
K. Aladesanmi ↔ N. Segura
Bogota FC
🔄
84'
J. Barreiro ↔ N. Vargas
Orsomarso
🟨
87'
J. Villarreal
Orsomarso
🟨
90+1'
M. Preciado
Orsomarso
⚽
90'
N. Segura
Bogota FC

Orsomarso vs Bogota FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
77.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orsomarso Win 22.2%
Draw 30.3%
Bogota FC Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsomarso0.9
Bogota FC0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsomarso Orsomarso
D W L D L
5 GF / 6 GA
Bogota FC Bogota FC
D D D L W
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
8
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsomarso Orsomarso 28 matches
Bogota FC Bogota FC 35 matches
Orsomarso Statistic Bogota FC
7 Wins 9
10 Draws 13
11 Losses 13
22 Goals For 28
29 Goals Against 37
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
8 BTTS Yes 15
15 Over 1.5 22
6 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 2
11 Clean Sheets 10
14 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Bogota FC having the stronger overall control. Orsomarso have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bogota FC.

Orsomarso Analysis

With 27 points from 26 games and a place of 13, Orsomarso still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 20:28, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC are currently 8 in the standings with 39 points from 33 matches. The record of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 28:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orsomarso won 4 times, Bogota FC won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Orsomarso's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (77.8%)
H2H summary: Orsomarso wins 4, draws 3, Bogota FC wins 7

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 20 10 9 43:30 13 70
L W W W W
2 41 18 14 9 54:35 19 68
L D W W W
3 39 17 13 9 53:37 16 64
D D D W W
4 40 16 14 10 62:46 16 62
L D D W D
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 39 13 14 12 37:31 6 53
W D D L D
7 33 12 12 9 36:30 6 48
D L L L W
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 32 10 12 10 34:32 2 42
D L W D D
10 33 10 11 12 41:43 -2 41
W W D W L
11 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
12 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)