BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Central City Stadium
Orsha
Match Timeline
Smorgon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
I. Berezun ↔ N. Volchenko
Orsha
22'
N. Vekhtev · Assist: G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
30'
M. Dukso
Smorgon
🟨
53'
Orsha
Orsha
🟨
58'
Smorgon
Smorgon
🔄
90+2'
M. Pashkevich ↔ A. Dambrovsky
Orsha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.2%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 10.4%
Draw 10.4%
Smorgon Win 79.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.2
Smorgon1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
14 GF / 29 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
23 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 15 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 18 matches
Orsha Statistic Smorgon
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
14 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 29
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
8 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Orsha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Smorgon. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control.

Orsha Analysis

Orsha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 12 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 11:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

Smorgon are currently 12 in the standings with 13 points from 13 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 16:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orsha won 6 times, Smorgon won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Orsha's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Orsha wins 6, draws 4, Smorgon wins 4
Last matches: Orsha
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
Last matches: Smorgon
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H: Orsha vs Smorgon
08.10.22
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
3
2
L
05.06.22
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
06.09.20
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
0
1
W
02.05.20
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
3
1
W
27.04.19
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
1
2
W
11.08.18
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
14.04.18
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
1
2
W
26.08.17
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
2
L
29.04.17
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
0
3
W
25.09.16
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
5
1
W
29.05.16
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
3
0
L
06.09.15
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
17.05.15
H2H
Smorgon
Orsha
6
0
L
Last matches: Orsha
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Orsha
05.06.22
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
02.05.20
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
3
1
W
11.08.18
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
26.08.17
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
2
L
25.09.16
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
5
1
W
06.09.15
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
Last matches: Smorgon
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H away: Smorgon
05.06.22
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
02.05.20
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
31.08.19
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
3
1
L
11.08.18
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
0
D
26.08.17
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
0
2
W
25.09.16
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
5
1
L
06.09.15
H2H
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13
Orsha Home
14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation