BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Central City Stadium
Orsha
Match Timeline
Shakhter Soligorsk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
P. Bordukov · Assist: N. Bobchenok
Orsha
45+1'
M. Pashkevich · Assist: A. Volodkov
Orsha
🔄
46'
D. Tikhomirov ↔ A. Alexandrovich
Orsha
🔄
65'
M. Pashkevich ↔ N. Vekhtev
Orsha
73'
N. Vekhtev · Assist: N. Vekhtev
Orsha
🟨
74'
N. Bykov
Orsha
76'
E. Kudinov · Assist: N. Vekhtev
Orsha
🟨
87'
Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
90+3'
I. Sen · Assist: D. Kutsepalov
Shakhter Soligorsk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 6%
Draw 6%
Shakhter Soligorsk Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.12
Shakhter Soligorsk2.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
16 GF / 33 GA
Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk
WLDWL
35 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
2.19
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
10
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 17 matches
Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk 16 matches
Orsha Statistic Shakhter Soligorsk
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
10 Losses 4
16 Goals For 35
33 Goals Against 22
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
10 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shakhter Soligorsk's more proactive style and Orsha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shakhter Soligorsk. Shakhter Soligorsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 25 points while Orsha sit 13 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Shakhter Soligorsk having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orsha Analysis

With 15 points from 14 games and a place of 13, Orsha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:25 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shakhter Soligorsk Analysis

Shakhter Soligorsk sit 6 with 25 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 33:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
Last matches: Orsha
25.07.26
1.
Orsha
Volna
1
3
L
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
Last matches: Shakhter Soligorsk
25.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Slutsk
2
2
D
12.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Volna
4
2
W
04.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
27.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
0
2
L
20.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Ostrovets FC
4
1
W
13.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
2
6
L
07.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Slonim
1
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Minsk II
3
2
W
22.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
BATE II
1
1
D
15.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Osipovichy
6
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Uni Minsk
3
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Lida
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
5
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Niva
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
0
D
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
Last matches: Shakhter Soligorsk
12.07.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Volna
4
2
W
27.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Smorgon
0
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Bumprom
2
6
L
31.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Minsk II
3
2
W
15.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Osipovichy
6
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
Niva
2
2
D
04.04.26
1.
Shakhter Soligorsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
0
D

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12
Orsha Home
16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L