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BELARUS › 1. DIVISION
03.10.2026 10:00
Central City Stadium
Orsha
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
62'
E. Kudinov ↔ G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
🔄
67'
D. Galuza ↔ V. Dybin
Niva
🔄
67'
P. Pampukha ↔ I. Monich
Niva
🔄
75'
I. Berezun ↔ D. Strebtsov
Orsha
🔄
79'
D. Sibilev ↔ M. Druchik
Niva
🔄
79'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🟨
90+2'
G. Zheleznikov
Orsha
🔄
90'
M. Gordeychuk ↔ V. Milyutin
Niva

Orsha vs Niva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 6%
Draw 6%
Niva Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.15
Niva2.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
28 GF / 56 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
70 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.41
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
17
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
23
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 28 matches
Niva Niva 29 matches
Orsha Statistic Niva
7 Wins 18
5 Draws 4
16 Losses 7
28 Goals For 70
56 Goals Against 40
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.41
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
17 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 23
9 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Niva's more proactive style and Orsha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Niva. Niva carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 51 points while Orsha sit 14 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. Orsha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orsha Analysis

Orsha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 26 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 27:46 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niva Analysis

Niva approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 51 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 16 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 63:31 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Orsha won 0 times, Niva won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from Orsha's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
H2H summary: Orsha wins 0, draws 3, Niva wins 4

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 18 6 4 57:28 29 60
W W W W W
2
Niva Away
28 18 4 6 72:33 39 58
W D W L W
3 28 18 3 7 52:43 9 57
W W W L W
4 28 17 5 6 61:32 29 56
W W W W L
5 28 15 5 8 51:33 18 50
W D W W D
6 27 14 3 10 46:45 1 45
L L W D W
7 28 12 7 9 55:45 10 43
W D W W W
8 28 12 5 11 53:44 9 41
L W D W L
9 28 10 6 12 35:36 -1 36
W W L W W
10 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
11 28 8 11 9 38:41 -3 35
L D D L W
12 28 10 5 13 41:51 -10 35
D L L L L
13 28 9 3 16 37:52 -15 30
L L L D L
14
Orsha Home
28 7 6 15 28:52 -24 27
L D L L D
15 27 6 8 13 25:36 -11 26
L D L L D
16 27 5 7 15 36:61 -25 22
D L L W L
17 28 5 6 17 38:60 -22 21
L L L L L
18 28 5 5 18 30:68 -38 20
D L D D L