BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Central City Stadium
Orsha
Match Timeline
Lida
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
E. Karpovich
Lida
🟨
19'
N. Vekhtev
Orsha
38'
R. Gribovskiy · Assist: A. Puzach
Lida
🟨
41'
R. Gribovskiy
Lida
🟨
55'
Y. Kulesh
Orsha
🔄
57'
Y. Kulesh ↔ N. Bobchenok
Orsha
66'
M. Pashkevich · Assist: N. Bobchenok
Orsha
🔄
75'
A. Galushko ↔ Z. Dyatlov
Lida
🟨
81'
D. Gradoboev
Lida
🔄
83'
D. Gradoboev ↔ A. Poznyak
Lida
83'
I. Tymonyuk · Assist: D. Kutsepalov
Lida
🔄
86'
I. Berezun ↔ Y. Komarov
Orsha
🟨
90+2'
Z. Dyatlov
Lida

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 13.5%
Draw 10.6%
Lida Win 75.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.38
Lida1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
9 GF / 20 GA
Lida Lida
WLDWL
21 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
2.23
5
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 11 matches
Lida Lida 13 matches
Orsha Statistic Lida
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 7
9 Goals For 21
20 Goals Against 29
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 2.23
5 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lida. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lida having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Orsha Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Orsha have collected 10 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 8:14 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by M. Pashkevich (2 goals), N. Tarbyakov (2 goals), D. Tikhomirov (1 goals), with creative support from N. Vekhtev (2 assists), I. Ageev (1 assists), P. Bordukov (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lida Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Lida have collected 14 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by R. Gribovskiy (5 goals), A. Puzach (4 goals), A. Chernodarov (3 goals), with creative support from A. Chernodarov (5 assists), D. Kutsepalov (3 assists), R. Gribovskiy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Orsha won 6 times, Lida won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:30 from Orsha's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
H2H summary: Orsha wins 6, draws 3, Lida wins 6

Lineups

Lida
Formation
Orsha
E. Gremza
E. Gremza
A. Legchilin
A. Legchilin
V. Ivanovsky
V. Ivanovsky
I. Tymonyuk
I. Tymonyuk
M. Katsynel
M. Katsynel
D. Gradoboev
D. Gradoboev
A. Galushko
A. Galushko
D. Kutsepalov
🎯
D. Kutsepalov
E. Karpovich
E. Karpovich
A. Puzach
🎯
A. Puzach
R. Gribovskiy
R. Gribovskiy
A. Volodkov
A. Volodkov
M. Pashkevich
M. Pashkevich
N. Tarbyakov
N. Tarbyakov
I. Berezun
I. Berezun
D. Stain
D. Stain
Y. Kulesh
Y. Kulesh
N. Volchenko
N. Volchenko
N. Vekhtev
N. Vekhtev
G. Zheleznikov
G. Zheleznikov
V. Shalychev
V. Shalychev
P. Bordukov
P. Bordukov
Lida 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
E. Gremza
3
A. Legchilin
4
V. Ivanovsky
5
I. Tymonyuk
⚽ 83'
6
M. Katsynel
7
D. Gradoboev
↓ 83' 🟨 81'
8
A. Galushko
↓ 75'
11
D. Kutsepalov
🎯 83'
13
E. Karpovich
🟨 13'
17
A. Puzach
🎯 38'
22
R. Gribovskiy
⚽ 38' 🟨 41'
Substitutes
1
A. Vasilyev
2
A. Poznyak
↑ 83'
14
D. Khodyko
18
Z. Dyatlov
↑ 75' 🟨 90+2'
19
K. Chernyak
21
S. Zhurnevich
24
E. Zaytsev
Orsha 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Volodkov
3
M. Pashkevich
⚽ 66'
5
N. Tarbyakov
8
I. Berezun
↓ 86'
11
D. Stain
17
Y. Kulesh
↓ 57' 🟨 55'
18
N. Volchenko
19
N. Vekhtev
🟨 19'
77
G. Zheleznikov
82
V. Shalychev
93
P. Bordukov
Substitutes
52
R. Kravchenko
7
N. Bobchenok
🎯 66' ↑ 57'
9
D. Tikhomirov
13
V. Mitrofanov
14
A. Dambrovsky
69
S. Bulakhov
80
Y. Komarov
↑ 86'
88
D. Rudenok
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
Last matches: Lida
11.07.26
1.
Lida
BATE II
4
1
W
05.07.26
1.
Lida
Uni Minsk
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Lida
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Lida
Gomel II
2
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Lida
Volna
2
4
L
31.05.26
1.
Lida
Smorgon
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Lida
Bumprom
0
2
L
16.05.26
1.
Lida
Minsk II
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Lida
Osipovichy
2
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Lida
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
1
W
26.04.26
1.
Lida
Niva
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Lida
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
11.04.26
1.
Lida
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
03.04.26
1.
Lida
Dinamo Minsk II
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
Lida
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Lida
Dinamo Brest
1
4
L
21.01.26
Fri
Lida
Neman
1
2
L
H2H: Orsha vs Lida
13.06.26
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Lida
Orsha
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
3
L
19.10.24
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
4
L
23.06.24
H2H
Lida
Orsha
0
1
W
30.08.23
H2H
Orsha
Lida
0
3
L
09.04.23
H2H
Lida
Orsha
0
0
D
04.09.22
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
2
D
01.05.22
H2H
Lida
Orsha
1
2
W
31.10.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
Lida
Orsha
0
2
W
22.05.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
1
D
15.11.20
H2H
Lida
Orsha
1
5
W
18.04.20
H2H
Orsha
Lida
3
2
W
23.11.19
H2H
Lida
Orsha
8
1
L
Last matches: Orsha
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Orsha
13.06.26
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.25
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
3
L
19.10.24
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
4
L
30.08.23
H2H
Orsha
Lida
0
3
L
04.09.22
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
2
D
31.10.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
1
W
22.05.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
1
D
18.04.20
H2H
Orsha
Lida
3
2
W
Last matches: Lida
11.07.26
1.
Lida
BATE II
4
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Lida
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Lida
Smorgon
4
4
D
16.05.26
1.
Lida
Minsk II
1
2
L
26.04.26
1.
Lida
Niva
2
1
W
11.04.26
1.
Lida
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lida
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2
3
L
25.02.26
Fri
Lida
Dinamo Brest
1
4
L
21.01.26
Fri
Lida
Neman
1
2
L
H2H away: Lida
13.06.26
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
2
W
19.04.25
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
3
W
19.10.24
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
4
W
30.08.23
H2H
Orsha
Lida
0
3
W
04.09.22
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
2
D
31.10.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
2
1
L
22.05.21
H2H
Orsha
Lida
1
1
D
18.04.20
H2H
Orsha
Lida
3
2
L

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3
Lida Away
15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5 15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
7 14 7 2 5 23:21 2 23
W W W W W
8 14 7 2 5 29:20 9 23
L L W W D
9 14 6 4 4 29:18 11 22
L L W L W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 14 4 4 6 22:20 2 16
W W L L D
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13
Orsha Home
14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation