BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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Central City Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orsha Win 10.4%
Draw 10.4%
Gomel II Win 79.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orsha1.27
Gomel II1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orsha Orsha
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Gomel II Gomel II
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
11
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orsha Orsha 18 matches
Gomel II Gomel II 17 matches
Orsha Statistic Gomel II
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
19 Goals For 24
34 Goals Against 27
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
11 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gomel II having the stronger overall control. Orsha have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Gomel II. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Orsha Analysis

With 15 points from 15 games and a place of 15, Orsha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gomel II Analysis

Gomel II are currently 12 in the standings with 17 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 23:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Orsha won 2 times, Gomel II won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Orsha's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.6%)
H2H summary: Orsha wins 2, draws 0, Gomel II wins 1
Last matches: Orsha
31.07.26
1.
Orsha
Shakhter Soligorsk
3
1
W
25.07.26
1.
Orsha
Volna
1
3
L
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
04.07.26
1.
Orsha
Bumprom
3
1
W
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
20.06.26
1.
Orsha
Osipovichy
1
2
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Orsha
Niva
1
1
D
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
23.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
08.05.26
1.
Orsha
Ostrovets FC
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
25.04.26
1.
Orsha
BATE II
2
1
W
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Orsha
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
06.04.26
1.
Orsha
Gomel II
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Orsha
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Orsha
Naftan
0
3
L
Last matches: Gomel II
02.08.26
1.
Gomel II
Volna
1
4
L
25.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Smorgon
0
2
L
12.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Bumprom
1
1
D
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Osipovichy
5
2
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Niva
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
31.05.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Slutsk
1
3
L
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
15.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
01.05.26
1.
Gomel II
BATE II
3
4
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
20.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
06.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
L
H2H: Orsha vs Gomel II
06.04.26
H2H
Gomel II
Orsha
0
1
W
26.10.25
H2H
Orsha
Gomel II
1
3
L
22.06.25
H2H
Gomel II
Orsha
2
5
W
Last matches: Orsha
31.07.26
1.
Orsha
Shakhter Soligorsk
3
1
W
11.07.26
1.
Orsha
Smorgon
1
1
D
28.06.26
1.
Orsha
Minsk II
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Orsha
Lida
1
2
L
30.05.26
1.
Orsha
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
2
L
01.05.26
1.
Orsha
Slonim
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Orsha
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
H2H at home: Orsha
26.10.25
H2H
Orsha
Gomel II
1
3
L
Last matches: Gomel II
25.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Smorgon
0
2
L
03.07.26
1.
Gomel II
Minsk II
3
0
W
19.06.26
1.
Gomel II
Lida
1
2
L
07.06.26
1.
Gomel II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
1
D
27.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Dinamo Minsk II
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
Gomel II
Slonim
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Uni Minsk
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Gomel II
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
0
D
H2H away: Gomel II
26.10.25
H2H
Orsha
Gomel II
1
3
W

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12
Orsha Home
16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L