FRANCE LIGUE 3
26.09.2026 18:45
Stade de la Source

Orleans vs Cannes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orleans Win 28.9%
Draw 4.8%
Cannes Win 66.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orleans1.12
Cannes1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orleans Orleans
WWDLW
11 GF / 15 GA
Cannes Cannes
WLDWL
16 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
4
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orleans Orleans 11 matches
Cannes Cannes 10 matches
Orleans Statistic Cannes
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 6
6 Losses 1
11 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 13
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
4 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cannes's more proactive style and Orleans's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cannes having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cannes. Orleans have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cannes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 11 points while Orleans sit 14 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Orleans Analysis

Orleans sit 14 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:8, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cannes Analysis

Placed 4 with 11 points from 7 outings, Cannes continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, while the 8:3 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 13:2 11 17
W W D W W
2 7 4 3 0 10:6 4 15
W D D W D
3 7 3 3 1 9:6 3 12
W W D D W
4 7 3 3 1 13:11 2 12
D L D D W
5 7 4 0 3 12:7 5 12
L W W L W
6 7 3 2 2 8:2 6 11
W D W W L
7 7 2 5 0 8:3 5 11
D D W W D
8 7 3 1 3 10:11 -1 10
D W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 9:7 2 10
W L D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:9 -3 10
D W L W L
11 7 2 3 2 5:7 -2 9
D L D D W
12 7 2 3 2 6:8 -2 9
D W D W L
13 7 2 3 2 11:8 3 9
D W W L L
14 7 2 1 4 6:10 -4 7
L L D L W
15 7 1 2 4 7:12 -5 5
L L D D L
16 7 1 1 5 3:8 -5 4
L L D W L
17 7 1 1 5 4:12 -8 4
D L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 6:17 -11 4
L D L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation