🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Exploria Stadium
Referee: R. Touchan
Orlando City SC
Match Timeline
Nashville SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Tiago
Orlando City SC
🔄
46'
A. Muyl ↔ A. Qasem
Nashville SC
🔄
53'
Tiago ↔ T. Spicer
Orlando City SC
🔄
65'
B. Acosta ↔ E. Tagseth
Nashville SC
🔄
65'
S. Mohammed ↔ J. Knight
Nashville SC
🔄
70'
B. Rhein ↔ A. Marin
Orlando City SC
🔄
70'
D. Brekalo ↔ Iago Teodoro
Orlando City SC
72'
T. Spicer · Assist: J. Ellis
Orlando City SC
🔄
76'
A. Najar ↔ D. Lovitz
Nashville SC
🔄
86'
Luis Otavio ↔ W. Cartagena
Orlando City SC
🔄
86'
J. Ellis ↔ H. Sarajian
Orlando City SC
🔄
90+5'
M. Corcoran ↔ W. Pacius
Nashville SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orlando City SC Win 35.8%
Draw 10.7%
Nashville SC Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City SC1.29
Nashville SC2.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WWDLW
34 GF / 54 GA
Nashville SC Nashville SC
WLDWL
49 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
1.75
2.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.68
14
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
13
4.88
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 20 matches
Nashville SC Nashville SC 28 matches
Orlando City SC Statistic Nashville SC
6 Wins 17
3 Draws 7
11 Losses 4
34 Goals For 49
54 Goals Against 19
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
2.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.68
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 14
5 Failed To Score 7
4.88 Shots On Goal 4.38
11.38 Total Shots 11.25
3.88 Corners 4.58
45.3% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Nashville SC's more proactive style and Orlando City SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nashville SC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orlando City SC expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Nashville SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nashville SC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nashville SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 33 points while Orlando City SC sit 13 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Orlando City SC Analysis

So far, Orlando City SC have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 14 points from 15 matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 23:44 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Martín Ojeda (9 goals), Tyrese Spicer (2 goals), Griffin Dorsey (2 goals), with creative support from Adrián Marín (3 assists), Justin Ellis (2 assists), Iván Angulo (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nashville SC Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 33 points from 14 games, Nashville SC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, with a 31:11 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Hany Mukhtar (4 goals), Warren Madrigal (3 goals), Bryan Acosta (2 goals), with creative support from Hany Mukhtar (4 assists), Cristian Espinoza (4 assists), Andy Najar (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 7 times, Nashville SC won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Orlando City SC 3-4-3 / Nashville SC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Orlando City SC 3, Nashville SC 4
H2H summary: Orlando City SC wins 7, draws 1, Nashville SC wins 4
Stats
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Nashville SC Nashville SC
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
1
2 Corner Kicks 3
5 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
339 Total passes 323
308 Passes accurate 291
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Orlando City SC
Formation
Nashville SC
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau
Griffin Dorsey
Griffin Dorsey
David Brekalo
David Brekalo
Robin Jansson
Robin Jansson
Bernardo Rhein
Bernardo Rhein
Iván Angulo
Iván Angulo
Luis Otávio
Luis Otávio
Braian Ojeda
Braian Ojeda
Tiago Souza
Tiago Souza
Antoine Griezmann
Antoine Griezmann
Justin Ellis
🎯
Justin Ellis
Brian Schwake
Brian Schwake
Josh Bauer
Josh Bauer
Maxwell Woledzi
Maxwell Woledzi
Jack Maher
Jack Maher
Andy Najar
Andy Najar
Bryan Acosta
Bryan Acosta
Matthew Corcoran
Matthew Corcoran
Alex Muyl
Alex Muyl
Shakur Mohammed
Shakur Mohammed
Sam Surridge
Sam Surridge
Hany Mukhtar
Hany Mukhtar
Orlando City SC 4-4-2
Starting XI
71
Maxime Crépeau
G
24
Griffin Dorsey
D
4
David Brekalo
↓ 70'
D
6
Robin Jansson
D
44
Bernardo Rhein
↓ 70'
D
77
Iván Angulo
M
5
Luis Otávio
↓ 86'
M
8
Braian Ojeda
M
11
Tiago Souza
↓ 53' 🟨 20'
M
7
Antoine Griezmann
F
22
Justin Ellis
🎯 72' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
12
Javier Otero
G
3
Adrián Marín
↑ 70'
D
19
Zakaria Taifi
M
57
Iago Silva
↑ 70'
D
29
Tahir Reid-Brown
D
65
Gustavo Caraballo
M
23
Harvey Sarajian
↑ 86'
F
16
Wilder Cartagena
↑ 86'
M
14
Tyrese Spicer
⚽ 72' ↑ 53'
F
Nashville SC 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
Brian Schwake
G
22
Josh Bauer
D
3
Maxwell Woledzi
D
5
Jack Maher
D
31
Andy Najar
↓ 76'
D
6
Bryan Acosta
↓ 65'
M
16
Matthew Corcoran
↓ 90+5'
M
19
Alex Muyl
↓ 46'
M
14
Shakur Mohammed
↓ 65'
F
9
Sam Surridge
F
10
Hany Mukhtar
F
Substitutes
13
Xavier Valdez
G
4
Jeisson Palacios
D
23
Jordan Knight
↑ 65'
D
21
Thomas Williams
D
2
Daniel Lovitz
↑ 76'
D
12
Charles-Emile Brunet
M
37
Ahmed Qasem
↑ 46'
F
20
Edvard Tagseth
↑ 65'
M
17
Woobens Pacius
↑ 90+5'
F
Last matches: Orlando City SC
22.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
19.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
23.07.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
W
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
Last matches: Nashville SC
23.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
3
2
W
19.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
4
1
W
01.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
23.07.26
Maj
Nashville SC
CF Montreal
1
0
W
18.07.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York City FC
2
1
W
18.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC
3
2
W
13.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
3
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
06.05.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
29.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
4
2
W
18.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
1
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
0
0
D
05.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
21.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
5
0
W
H2H: Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC
25.07.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
5
0
L
07.02.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
2
W
24.08.25
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
5
1
L
21.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
31.08.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
0
W
18.07.24
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
0
3
W
12.11.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D
08.11.23
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
0
1
W
30.10.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
W
05.10.23
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
0
1
W
01.04.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
07.02.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.02.23
H2H
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Orlando City SC
22.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
19.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
16.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
H2H at home: Orlando City SC
25.07.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
W
07.02.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
2
W
21.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
3
L
31.08.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
0
W
12.11.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D
30.10.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
07.02.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D
Last matches: Nashville SC
19.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
1
0
W
01.08.26
Maj
Nashville SC
DC United
2
2
D
13.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
New England Revolution
3
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
02.05.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
0
0
D
18.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Nashville SC
Club America
1
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Charlotte
2
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
18.03.26
CON
Nashville SC
Inter Miami
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Nashville SC
FC Dallas
0
0
D
18.02.26
CON
Nashville SC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Nashville SC
Orlando City SC
2
2
D
H2H away: Nashville SC
25.07.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
L
07.02.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
20.09.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
2
L
21.05.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
3
W
31.08.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
3
0
L
12.11.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D
30.10.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
1
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
2
W
07.02.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
0
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 43:17 26 49
W W W D L
2 21 11 6 4 49:40 9 39
L D L D W
3 20 11 3 6 37:26 11 36
D W W W L
4 21 10 4 7 33:26 7 34
D W L L D
5 21 9 5 7 38:32 6 32
W D W L W
6 21 8 7 6 49:47 2 31
D W D W L
7 21 7 6 8 35:30 5 27
D L L D W
8 21 7 5 9 31:43 -12 26
D L L W L
9 21 7 3 11 34:51 -17 24
W L D L W
10 21 5 9 7 31:37 -6 24
W D W D L
11 21 5 9 7 28:36 -8 24
L L D D W
12 21 6 3 12 25:36 -11 21
W W W L L
13 21 5 6 10 31:38 -7 21
D D W W W
14 21 5 6 10 29:39 -10 21
D W D D L
15 21 5 5 11 30:36 -6 20
L L L D W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Orlando City SC 3 missing
-
N. Miller
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Ojeda
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
J. Gerbet
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Nashville SC 4 missing
-
P. Yazbek
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
R. Baker-Whiting
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
C. Espinoza
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
W. Madrigal
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT