🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: T. Penso
Orlando City SC
Match Timeline
Atlanta United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
G. Dorsey · Assist: I. Angulo
Orlando City SC
🟨
28'
Marco Pašalić
Orlando City SC
🟨
41'
William Reilly
Atlanta United FC
🔄
46'
R. Jansson ↔ Iago Teodoro
Orlando City SC
🔄
59'
M. Pasalic ↔ T. Spicer
Orlando City SC
🔄
59'
W. Reilly ↔ F. Picault
Atlanta United FC
🔄
68'
E. Mihaj ↔ S. Gregersen
Atlanta United FC
🔄
68'
T. Jacob ↔ M. Edwards
Atlanta United FC
🔄
68'
S. Lobjanidze ↔ E. Latte Lath
Atlanta United FC
🔄
69'
J. Ellis ↔ D. McGuire
Orlando City SC
🔄
69'
E. Atuesta ↔ Luis Otavio
Orlando City SC
🔄
78'
↔ C. Togashi
Atlanta United FC
🔄
82'
B. Ojeda ↔ W. Cartagena
Orlando City SC
🟨
83'
Maxime Crépeau
Orlando City SC
86'
A. Fortune · Assist: M. Edwards
Atlanta United FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orlando City SC Win 45.9%
Draw 26.5%
Atlanta United FC Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orlando City SC1.53
Atlanta United FC1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
WWDLW
27 GF / 47 GA
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WLDWL
21 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.31
2.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
12
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
4.46
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 17 matches
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 16 matches
Orlando City SC Statistic Atlanta United FC
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
10 Losses 8
27 Goals For 21
47 Goals Against 23
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
2.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
12 BTTS Yes 9
16 Over 1.5 13
14 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 6
4.46 Shots On Goal 4.08
10.85 Total Shots 12.42
3.62 Corners 5
45.2% Ball Possession 53.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orlando City SC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Atlanta United FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atlanta United FC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orlando City SC Analysis

Orlando City SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 10 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats with a 16:34 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ojeda (7 goals), M. Pasalic (2 goals), Tyrese Spicer (2 goals), with creative support from I. Angulo (3 assists), J. Ellis (2 assists), A. Gomez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 10 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Miranchuk (5 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (2 goals), S. Lobjanidze (2 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), A. Miranchuk (2 assists), E. Baez (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City SC won 5 times, Atlanta United FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Orlando City SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Orlando City SC 5-3-2 / Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Orlando City SC 2, Atlanta United FC 3
H2H summary: Orlando City SC wins 5, draws 4, Atlanta United FC wins 5
Stats
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
4 Corner Kicks 10
8 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 8
2 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 15
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
411 Total passes 479
348 Passes accurate 421
1.11 expected_goals 1.40
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Orlando City SC
Formation
Atlanta United FC
M. Crepeau
M. Crepeau
D. Brekalo
D. Brekalo
R. Jansson
R. Jansson
A. Gomez
A. Gomez
G. Dorsey
G. Dorsey
B. Ojeda
B. Ojeda
E. Atuesta
E. Atuesta
I. Angulo
🎯
I. Angulo
M. Pasalic
M. Pasalic
M. Ojeda
M. Ojeda
J. Ellis
J. Ellis
L. Hoyos
L. Hoyos
T. Jacob
T. Jacob
E. Mihaj
E. Mihaj
J. Berrocal
J. Berrocal
E. Baez
E. Baez
A. Fortune
A. Fortune
T. Muyumba
T. Muyumba
W. Reilly
W. Reilly
S. Lobjanidze
S. Lobjanidze
A. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
M. Galarza
M. Galarza
Orlando City SC 3-4-3
Starting XI
71
M. Crepeau
🟨 83'
G
4
D. Brekalo
D
6
R. Jansson
↓ 46'
D
3
A. Gomez
24
G. Dorsey
⚽ 18'
M
8
B. Ojeda
↓ 82'
M
20
E. Atuesta
↓ 69'
M
77
I. Angulo
🎯 18'
M
87
M. Pasalic
↓ 59' 🟨 28'
F
10
M. Ojeda
F
22
J. Ellis
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Otero
G
16
W. Cartagena
↑ 82'
M
57
Iago Teodoro
↑ 46'
D
19
Z. Taifi
M
13
D. McGuire
↑ 69'
F
5
Luis Otavio
↑ 69'
M
29
T. Reid-Brown
D
11
Tiago
F
14
T. Spicer
↑ 59'
F
Atlanta United FC 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
L. Hoyos
G
55
T. Jacob
↓ 68'
D
4
E. Mihaj
↓ 68'
D
6
J. Berrocal
D
3
E. Baez
D
35
A. Fortune
⚽ 86'
M
8
T. Muyumba
M
28
W. Reilly
↓ 59' 🟨 41'
M
11
S. Lobjanidze
↓ 68'
F
59
A. Miranchuk
F
88
M. Galarza
F
Substitutes
42
J. Hibbert
G
22
F. Picault
↑ 59'
F
5
S. Gregersen
↑ 68'
D
30
C. Togashi
↑ 78'
F
47
M. Edwards
🎯 86' ↑ 68'
D
2
R. Hernandez
D
9
E. Latte Lath
↑ 68'
F
7
S. Alzate
M
18
P. Amador
D
Last matches: Orlando City SC
23.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
2
6
L
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
09.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
0
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
4
3
W
25.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
DC United
2
3
L
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
12.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
1
1
D
05.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Los Angeles FC
0
6
L
21.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
0
5
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
07.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York City FC
0
5
L
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
24.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
09.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
02.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
CF Montreal
3
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
3
L
21.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
DC United
0
0
D
14.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallas
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Lexington
4
0
W
H2H: Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC
19.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
16.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
28.05.25
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
3
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
0
W
05.02.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
17.03.24
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
2
0
L
15.07.23
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
1
2
W
27.05.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
1
L
17.07.22
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
3
0
L
31.07.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
17.04.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Orlando City SC
13.05.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Philadelphia Union
4
3
W
22.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Charlotte
4
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
CF Montreal
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
22.02.26
Maj
Orlando City SC
New York Red Bulls
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
11.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Nashville SC
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
Orlando City SC
Lexington
1
2
L
H2H at home: Orlando City SC
19.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
4
1
W
16.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
0
W
05.02.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
20.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
27.05.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
1
L
31.07.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
2
W
17.04.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
24.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
25.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
01.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
H2H away: Atlanta United FC
19.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
4
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
26.04.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
0
L
05.02.25
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
W
27.05.23
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
14.09.22
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
1
W
31.07.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
3
2
L
17.04.21
H2H
Orlando City SC
Atlanta United FC
0
0
D

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Orlando City SC 2 missing
-
J. Gerbet
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Miller
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
Atlanta United FC 3 missing
-
M. Almiron
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Alzate
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Picault
Questionable Injury
OUT