BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oriente Petrolero Win 67.1%
Draw 13.3%
Nacional Potosí Win 19.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oriente Petrolero1.57
Nacional Potosí1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WWDLW
23 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí
WLDWL
21 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
2.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 14 matches
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 15 matches
Oriente Petrolero Statistic Nacional Potosí
6 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
23 Goals For 21
21 Goals Against 22
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 2.5
0 Total Shots 16
0 Corners 3
0% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Nacional Potosí's more proactive style and Oriente Petrolero's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional Potosí having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nacional Potosí. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Oriente Petrolero have collected 14 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:16 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nacional Potosí Analysis

Nacional Potosí are currently 7 in the standings with 15 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Oriente Petrolero won 3 times, Nacional Potosí won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:28 from Oriente Petrolero's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Oriente Petrolero - / Nacional Potosí 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Oriente Petrolero wins 3, draws 4, Nacional Potosí wins 7
Last matches: Oriente Petrolero
25.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
19.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Aurora
2
2
D
16.07.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
15.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosí
2
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
11.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
The Strongest
0
3
L
01.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
5
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
26.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
4
1
W
20.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
1
4
L
12.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1
2
L
14.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
01.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
26.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
0
2
L
19.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
1
0
W
H2H: Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí
15.11.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
12.11.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
3
1
L
20.09.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
30.07.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
4
1
L
14.12.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
4
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
11.07.23
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
3
1
L
05.02.23
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
3
0
W
03.11.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
0
D
28.08.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
4
2
L
09.04.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
2
W
10.12.21
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
1
0
L
15.08.21
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D
03.12.20
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
L
Last matches: Oriente Petrolero
31.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
15.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Potosí
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Oriente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Oriente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
5
1
W
H2H at home: Oriente Petrolero
15.11.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
25.08.24
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
05.02.23
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
3
0
W
28.08.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
0
W
09.04.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
2
W
15.08.21
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
12.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1
2
L
14.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
1
3
L
23.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
26.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
0
2
L
H2H away: Nacional Potosí
15.11.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
25.08.24
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
05.02.23
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
3
0
L
28.08.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
4
2
L
15.08.21
H2H
Oriente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 27:6 21 26
W W W W L
2 11 6 5 0 16:9 7 23
D D W D W
3 11 6 3 2 26:11 15 21
W W D L D
4 11 5 5 1 19:13 6 20
W D L W W
5 11 4 5 2 17:12 5 17
D W D W L
6 11 4 4 3 17:10 7 16
L W W D W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
W L D W L
8 11 4 2 5 15:16 -1 14
W D L L D
9 11 4 2 5 22:27 -5 14
L W L W W
10 11 4 2 5 18:25 -7 14
W L W W D
11 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
L L L L W
12 11 4 0 7 19:26 -7 12
L L W L L
13 11 3 1 7 16:22 -6 10
L L L L W
14 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
W D D L W
15 11 3 1 7 13:23 -10 10
L W L L L
16 11 2 2 7 8:25 -17 8
L L W L L