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10.10.2026 23:30
Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas
Referee: J. Revollo
Oriente Petrolero
Match Timeline
ABB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Juan Felipe Fajardo Gallego
ABB
🟨
32'
Alejandro Bejarano
ABB
🔄
46'
F. Perez ↔ J. Escobar
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
46'
C. Saucedo ↔ L. Vaca
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
46'
M. Aponte ↔ N. Nacif
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
63'
L. Figueroa ↔ J. Briceno
ABB
🔄
70'
D. Rodriguez ↔ D. Roca
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
70'
J. Herrera ↔ J. Rojas
Oriente Petrolero
🔄
72'
G. Rea Mendieta ↔ E. Paniagua
ABB
🟨
77'
Juan Sebastian Reyes
ABB
🔄
87'
A. Bejarano ↔ F. Zamora
ABB
🔄
87'
A. Guillermo ↔ J. Rojas
ABB
🟨
90+2'
Joffre·Escobar
Oriente Petrolero
🟥
90+2'
E. Paniagua
ABB
⚽
90'
L. Vaca · Assist: J. Flores
Oriente Petrolero

Oriente Petrolero vs ABB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Oriente Petrolero Win 88%
Draw 6%
ABB Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oriente Petrolero2.04
ABB1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero
WWDLW
44 GF / 32 GA
ABB ABB
WLDWL
34 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
2.23
14
BTTS Yes
18
17
Over 2.5
17
3.15
Shots on Goal
2.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 23 matches
ABB ABB 22 matches
Oriente Petrolero Statistic ABB
11 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
9 Losses 13
44 Goals For 34
32 Goals Against 49
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 2.23
14 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 21
17 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 3
3.15 Shots On Goal 2.8
7.95 Total Shots 8.2
2.25 Corners 2.8
27.7% Ball Possession 27.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Oriente Petrolero's more proactive style and ABB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oriente Petrolero expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and ABB in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ABB having the stronger overall control. ABB arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors ABB. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Oriente Petrolero Analysis

Placed 5 with 30 points from 20 outings, Oriente Petrolero continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 36:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by N. Nacif (2 goals), J. Lovera (1 goals), J. Flores (1 goals), with creative support from J. Berdecio (2 assists), L. Vaca (1 assists), F. Gonzales (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

ABB Analysis

With 20 points from 20 games and a place of 12, ABB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 31:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Felipe Fajardo Juan (5 goals), L. Figueroa (2 goals), Rodderyk Perozo (2 goals), with creative support from L. Figueroa (3 assists), Felipe Fajardo Juan (2 assists), A. Bejarano (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Oriente Petrolero won 0 times, ABB won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from Oriente Petrolero's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Oriente Petrolero 4-1-4-1 / ABB 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oriente Petrolero wins 0, draws 1, ABB wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 56:22 34 51
W W W W W
2 21 14 6 1 49:13 36 48
W W W W D
3 21 12 6 3 39:23 16 42
L W W W W
4 22 10 8 4 29:14 15 38
W W W W D
5 21 10 3 8 37:27 10 33
W W L L D
6 22 7 10 5 33:30 3 31
L D L W W
7 21 8 5 8 33:43 -10 29
L W L D L
8 22 6 10 6 30:23 7 28
D L D W L
9 22 8 4 10 32:31 1 28
L D L W W
10 22 8 3 11 36:51 -15 27
W W L L W
11 22 7 5 10 27:37 -10 26
D L L L L
12 22 6 3 13 29:43 -14 21
W L D W L
13 22 6 3 13 22:42 -20 21
L D W L L
14
ABB Away
22 6 2 14 31:47 -16 20
L L L L W
15 22 5 5 12 16:39 -23 20
W D L L L
16 22 3 8 11 25:39 -14 17
L W L L L