SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Gamla Ullevi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Orgryte IS Win 27.9%
Draw 12.8%
Hammarby FF Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orgryte IS1.14
Hammarby FF2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WWDLW
29 GF / 56 GA
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
WLDWL
61 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
2.03
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
13
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
17
4.05
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 26 matches
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF 30 matches
Orgryte IS Statistic Hammarby FF
5 Wins 14
7 Draws 8
14 Losses 8
29 Goals For 61
56 Goals Against 35
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 2.03
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
13 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 26
13 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 11
5 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 5
4.05 Shots On Goal 7
11.53 Total Shots 18.13
4.16 Corners 6.13
43.5% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hammarby FF's more proactive style and Orgryte IS's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hammarby FF. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orgryte IS expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Hammarby FF in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hammarby FF having the stronger overall control. Hammarby FF carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 36 points while Orgryte IS sit 15 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Hammarby FF look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Orgryte IS Analysis

With 14 points from 18 games and a place of 15, Orgryte IS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 22:41 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Noah Christoffersson (6 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (2 goals), Tobias Sana (1 goals), with creative support from Owen Parker-Price (4 assists), Noah Christoffersson (1 assists), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby FF Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 36 points from 18 games, Hammarby FF bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 42:15, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Paulos Abraham (5 goals), Montader Madjed (3 goals), Victor Lind (2 goals), with creative support from Victor Lind (5 assists), Amin Boudri (2 assists), Paulos Abraham (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Orgryte IS won 0 times, Hammarby FF won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:8 from Orgryte IS's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 9 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: Orgryte IS 3-4-3 / Hammarby FF 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Orgryte IS wins 0, draws 0, Hammarby FF wins 1

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 47:27 20 42
L L L D W
2 19 11 3 5 44:18 26 36
L W W W D
3 18 10 2 6 41:19 22 32
W W L L W
4 19 8 7 4 27:19 8 31
W D W W W
5 19 8 7 4 33:29 4 31
L W W L D
6 18 9 4 5 28:27 1 31
W W W L D
7 19 9 2 8 33:30 3 29
W L W L W
8 19 8 5 6 28:33 -5 29
W D L W L
9 19 7 5 7 25:18 7 26
W L L W D
10 19 6 6 7 27:31 -4 24
L W W D L
11 19 6 5 8 24:39 -15 23
W D L W W
12 17 5 5 7 24:27 -3 20
L W L L D
13 19 5 4 10 21:29 -8 19
L D L L D
14 19 4 4 11 17:31 -14 16
L L W W L
15 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
L D L L W
16 19 2 5 12 13:35 -22 11
W D L L L
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation