SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
14.09.2026 17:00
Behrn Arena
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
United Nordic
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Jacob Ortmark
Orebro SK
🟨
56'
John Stenberg
Orebro SK
🔄
63'
Jacob Ortmark ↔ Samuel Wikman
Orebro SK
66'
Erdal Rakip · Assist: Karl Holmberg
Orebro SK
🔄
70'
christian aphrem ↔ Theodor Johansson
United Nordic
🔄
70'
Shergo shhab ↔ adi fisic
United Nordic
🔄
70'
Elias Durmaz ↔ Amar eminovic
United Nordic
77'
Theodor Johansson · Assist: Emmanuel swedi
United Nordic
🔄
78'
Erdal Rakip ↔ hampus soderstrom
Orebro SK
🟨
83'
Liiban Abdirahman Abadid
United Nordic
🟥
85'
Max Watson
Orebro SK
🔄
87'
Liiban Abdirahman Abadid ↔ Alexander Lindgren
United Nordic
🟨
88'
Emmanuel swedi
United Nordic
🟨
89'
Manasse Kusu
Orebro SK
🟨
90+2'
teo gronborg
United Nordic

Orebro SK vs United Nordic Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69%
Odds 2.99
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.73
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69%
2.99
BTTS Yes
88%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.73
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.1%
1.15
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 26.1%
Draw 4.9%
United Nordic Win 69%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.34
United Nordic1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WWDLW
42 GF / 41 GA
United Nordic United Nordic
WLDWL
56 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
16
1.9
Shots on Goal
2.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 31 matches
United Nordic United Nordic 30 matches
Orebro SK Statistic United Nordic
10 Wins 14
10 Draws 9
11 Losses 7
42 Goals For 56
41 Goals Against 40
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 4
1.9 Shots On Goal 2.19
3.6 Total Shots 4
1.95 Corners 2.62
28.6% Ball Possession 23.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around United Nordic's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward United Nordic. United Nordic carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 35 points while Orebro SK sit 15 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orebro SK expected to line up in 3-4-3 and United Nordic in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward United Nordic having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK sit 15 with 20 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Karl Holmberg (1 goals), Antonio Yakoub (1 goals), Ahmed Yasin (1 goals), with creative support from Karl Holmberg (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

United Nordic Analysis

United Nordic arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 35 points after 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 34:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kalipha Jawla (2 goals), Amar Eminovic (1 goals), with creative support from Christian Aphrem (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 0 times, United Nordic won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Orebro SK's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 3-4-3 / United Nordic 5-4-1
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 0, draws 0, United Nordic wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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