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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
11.10.2026 11:00
Behrn Arena
Referee: Per Martin Melin
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
Ljungskile SK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
K. Holmberg ↔ M. Kusu
Orebro SK
🔄
46'
S. Omar ↔ D. E. Hedstrom J.
Ljungskile SK
🔄
64'
C. Amatkarijo ↔ J. Ortmark
Orebro SK
⚽
66'
J. Ortmark · Assist: E. Rakip
Orebro SK
🟨
69'
Gustav hedin
Ljungskile SK
🔄
72'
G. Johanstrommer Hedin ↔ F. Ornblom
Ljungskile SK
🔄
73'
S. Adrian ↔ S. Hogblom
Ljungskile SK
🔄
82'
L. Lindholm Corner ↔ A. Rasheed
Ljungskile SK
🔄
82'
M. Uzel ↔ D. Frisk
Ljungskile SK
🔄
88'
S. Wikman ↔ H. Soderstrom
Orebro SK
🔄
88'
R. Wiedesheim-Paul ↔ F. Wahlstrom
Orebro SK
🔄
90+1'
A. Yakoub ↔ C. Redenstrand
Orebro SK
⚽
90'
A. Rasheed · Assist: D. Frisk
Ljungskile SK

Orebro SK vs Ljungskile SK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.4%
1.67 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 31.6%
Draw 19.6%
Ljungskile SK Win 48.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.35
Ljungskile SK1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WWDLW
46 GF / 47 GA
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK
WLDWL
55 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.34
19
BTTS Yes
22
18
Over 2.5
19
2.27
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 34 matches
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK 35 matches
Orebro SK Statistic Ljungskile SK
10 Wins 14
12 Draws 9
12 Losses 12
46 Goals For 55
47 Goals Against 47
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.34
19 BTTS Yes 22
26 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 10
2.27 Shots On Goal 3
4.36 Total Shots 7.04
2.45 Corners 3.17
30.4% Ball Possession 29.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ljungskile SK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orebro SK expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ljungskile SK in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ljungskile SK having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ljungskile SK. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 24 points from 25 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 27:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Karl Holmberg (1 goals), Antonio Yakoub (1 goals), Ahmed Yasin (1 goals), with creative support from Karl Holmberg (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ljungskile SK Analysis

Ljungskile SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 28 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 33:36 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lukas Lindholm Corner (1 goals), Filip Ambroz (1 goals), Gideon Mensah (1 goals), with creative support from Lukas Lindholm Corner (2 assists), Filip Ambroz (1 assists), Lukas Eriksson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 0 times, Ljungskile SK won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Orebro SK's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 4-4-2 / Ljungskile SK 3-5-2
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 0, draws 0, Ljungskile SK wins 1

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 52:16 36 58
W W D W D
2 26 14 6 6 48:34 14 48
W D W W L
3 26 13 6 7 45:34 11 45
D W W L D
4 26 11 11 4 34:25 9 44
D D W D W
5 26 12 7 7 42:28 14 43
W W W L W
6 26 10 9 7 40:34 6 39
W L D W W
7 26 11 3 12 38:40 -2 36
L L W L L
8 26 9 9 8 38:42 -4 36
L L D L W
9 26 9 7 10 43:38 5 34
L W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 36:47 -11 30
L D L W L
11 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
D L L W D
12 26 8 5 13 34:47 -13 29
L W L W D
13 26 5 12 9 30:35 -5 27
W D L L L
14 26 6 8 12 41:48 -7 26
W L D D L
15 26 5 10 11 28:40 -12 25
D L D W L
16 26 6 1 19 19:57 -38 19
L W L L W
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