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26.10.2026 18:05
Behrn Arena
Referee: Farouk Nehdi
Orebro SK
Match Timeline
Falkenbergs FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
Linus Borgström
Orebro SK
🟨
52'
Godwin Aguda
Falkenbergs FF
🟥
64'
Argjend Miftari
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
67'
Elias Mohammad ↔ Noel Hansson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
78'
Antonio Yakoub ↔ Jacob Ortmark
Orebro SK
🟨
82'
Erdal Rakip
Orebro SK
🔄
82'
Hampus Källström ↔ Hugo Komano
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
82'
Ayo Rupia-Ellis ↔ Nils Bertilsson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
90'
Oskar Lindberg ↔ William Videhult
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
90+2'
Manasse Kusu ↔ hampus soderstrom
Orebro SK
🔄
90+2'
Karl Holmberg ↔ Samuel Wikman
Orebro SK

Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Orebro SK Win 28.4%
Draw 14.6%
Falkenbergs FF Win 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
Orebro SK1.3
Falkenbergs FF1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Orebro SK Orebro SK
D D D L D
7 GF / 9 GA
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
W W D W W
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
21
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
26
2.46
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Orebro SK Orebro SK 36 matches
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 37 matches
Orebro SK Statistic Falkenbergs FF
10 Wins 22
14 Draws 8
12 Losses 7
49 Goals For 78
50 Goals Against 45
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
21 BTTS Yes 26
28 Over 1.5 32
19 Over 2.5 26
11 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 2
2.46 Shots On Goal 2.6
5.08 Total Shots 4.08
2.63 Corners 2.88
32.1% Ball Possession 30.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Falkenbergs FF's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Orebro SK expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Falkenbergs FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Falkenbergs FF having the stronger overall control. Falkenbergs FF carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 51 points while Orebro SK sit 15 on 25, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Falkenbergs FF look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Falkenbergs FF.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 25 points from 26 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats with a 28:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Karl Holmberg (1 goals), Antonio Yakoub (1 goals), Ahmed Yasin (1 goals), with creative support from Karl Holmberg (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Falkenbergs FF Analysis

Falkenbergs FF approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 51 points after 27 outings. The return of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 52:37, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Albin Andersson (1 goals), Oskar Lindberg (1 goals), Hugo Komano (1 goals), with creative support from Melker Nilsson (2 assists), Albin Andersson (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Orebro SK won 4 times, Falkenbergs FF won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Orebro SK's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.4%)
Predicted formations: Orebro SK 5-3-2 / Falkenbergs FF 4-4-2
H2H summary: Orebro SK wins 4, draws 1, Falkenbergs FF wins 4

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 20 5 4 61:18 43 65
W W D W W
2 29 16 6 7 54:39 15 54
W L W W D
3 29 13 9 7 48:37 11 48
D D D D W
4 29 12 12 5 38:29 9 48
L W D D D
5 29 13 8 8 48:34 14 47
W D L W W
6 29 12 9 8 50:38 12 45
W W L W L
7 29 14 3 12 49:45 4 45
W W W L L
8 29 11 9 9 45:49 -4 42
W L W L L
9 29 10 8 11 45:40 5 38
L W D L W
10 29 10 5 14 38:48 -10 35
W L W L W
11 29 8 10 11 39:40 -1 34
D D W D L
12 29 8 8 13 37:51 -14 32
L D D L D
13 29 6 11 12 32:44 -12 29
L W D D L
14 29 5 12 12 31:44 -13 27
L L L W D
15 29 6 8 15 46:57 -11 26
L L L W L
16 29 6 1 22 21:69 -48 19
L L L L W
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