BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Oratório
Match Timeline
Tuna Luso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
Otavio
Tuna Luso
14'
Daniel Alagoano
Oratório
45'
Franklin Douglas
Tuna Luso
61'
Dieguinho
Tuna Luso
70'
Daniel Alagoano
Oratório
90'
Sanderson
Oratório

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Oratório Win 35.7%
Draw 33%
Tuna Luso Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oratório1.26
Tuna Luso1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oratório Oratório
WWDLW
8 GF / 18 GA
Tuna Luso Tuna Luso
WLDWL
10 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oratório Oratório 7 matches
Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 7 matches
Oratório Statistic Tuna Luso
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
8 Goals For 10
18 Goals Against 10
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oratório have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tuna Luso. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tuna Luso having the stronger overall control. Tuna Luso carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 9 points while Oratório sit 6 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Oratório Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 6, Oratório still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Dayveson (2 goals), Aldair (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tuna Luso Analysis

Tuna Luso come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Alves (3 goals), Daniel GTA (2 goals), Franklin Douglas (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Oratório won 0 times, Tuna Luso won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Oratório's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (68.7%)
H2H summary: Oratório wins 0, draws 1, Tuna Luso wins 1
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
Last matches: Tuna Luso
27.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
4
L
31.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
2
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
3
3
D
05.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
1
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
1
2
L
29.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
3
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
0
0
D
H2H: Oratório vs Tuna Luso
24.05.26
H2H
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
19.04.26
H2H
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
L
Last matches: Oratório
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
H2H at home: Oratório
24.05.26
H2H
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
Last matches: Tuna Luso
27.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
3
3
D
02.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
1
4
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
0
0
D
28.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
0
0
D
17.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
3
0
W
H2H away: Tuna Luso
24.05.26
H2H
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)