BRAZIL SERIE D
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Oratório
Match Timeline
Tocantinópolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
40'
Tocantinópolis
Tocantinópolis
45'
Taperacu
Oratório
70'
Dayveson
Oratório
77'
Dayveson
Oratório

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
55%
-
Probability Distribution
Oratório Win 0%
Draw 51%
Tocantinópolis Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oratório0.9
Tocantinópolis1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oratório Oratório
WWDLW
1 GF / 5 GA
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WLDWL
2 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oratório Oratório 2 matches
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 2 matches
Oratório Statistic Tocantinópolis
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
2 Losses 1
1 Goals For 2
5 Goals Against 3
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tocantinópolis. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tocantinópolis having the stronger overall control.

Oratório Analysis

Oratório sit 6 with 0 points after 2 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 1:3 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Placed 5 with 1 points from 2 outings, Tocantinópolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 2:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Hitalo (1 goals), M. Lucas (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Oratório won 1 times, Tocantinópolis won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Oratório's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (100%)
H2H summary: Oratório wins 1, draws 0, Tocantinópolis wins 1
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
H2H: Oratório vs Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
L
22.04.26
H2H
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
Last matches: Oratório
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
H2H at home: Oratório
22.04.26
H2H
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
26.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
1
D
H2H away: Tocantinópolis
22.04.26
H2H
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)