BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: L. Silveira
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Miranda
Operario-PR
30'
Pedrinho · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo
🟨
36'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
🟨
37'
Hyoran
São Bernardo
VAR
45+4'
Miranda
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Aylon ↔ Moraes
Operario-PR
🔄
56'
Mario Sergio ↔ Para
São Bernardo
🔄
59'
Matheus Trindade ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
59'
Caio Dantas ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
🔄
64'
Pedrinho ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
64'
Hyoran ↔ Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
67'
Vinicius Diniz
Operario-PR
🔄
71'
Mikael Doka ↔ Maguinho
Operario-PR
🔄
76'
Foguinho ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
76'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Lucas Lima
São Bernardo
🟨
79'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🔄
81'
H. Pereira ↔ Maxwell
Operario-PR
87'
Lucas Lima · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo
VAR
90+4'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
90'
Pedro Vitor · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 68.4%
Draw 4.1%
São Bernardo Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.3
São Bernardo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
10
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 20 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 20 matches
Operario-PR Statistic São Bernardo
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
28 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 23
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.35
13.6 Total Shots 11.4
5 Corners 4.25
51.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Operario-PR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to São Bernardo in 12 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. São Bernardo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 35 points from 20 games, Operario-PR bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a 28:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Aylon (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo sit 12 with 27 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 28:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Mário Sergio (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 3 times, São Bernardo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Operario-PR's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-3-3 / São Bernardo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 3, draws 0, São Bernardo wins 2
Stats
Operario-PR Operario-PR
São Bernardo São Bernardo
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 1
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 6
11 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 10
13 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
529 Total passes 324
464 Passes accurate 259
1.52 expected_goals 1.67
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Operario-PR
Formation
São Bernardo
Vagner
Vagner
Mikael Doka
Mikael Doka
Klaus
Klaus
Miranda
Miranda
Gabriel Feliciano
Gabriel Feliciano
Matheus Trindade
Matheus Trindade
H. Pereira
H. Pereira
Boschilia
Boschilia
Vinicius Diniz
Vinicius Diniz
Aylon
Aylon
Caio Dantas
Caio Dantas
Alex Alves
Alex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira
Rodrigo Ferreira
Helder Maciel
Helder Maciel
Jemerson
Jemerson
Mario Sergio
Mario Sergio
Romisson
🎯
Romisson
Foguinho
Foguinho
Dudu Miraima
Dudu Miraima
Hyoran
Hyoran
Felipe Garcia
Felipe Garcia
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Operario-PR 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
33
Vagner
G
2
Mikael Doka
↓ 71'
D
44
Klaus
D
16
Miranda
🟨 30'
D
27
Gabriel Feliciano
D
39
Matheus Trindade
↓ 59'
M
14
H. Pereira
↓ 81' 🟨 36'
M
10
Boschilia
M
20
Vinicius Diniz
⚽ 67'
M
11
Aylon
↓ 46'
M
99
Caio Dantas
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
1
Elias Curzel
G
8
J. Zuluaga
M
77
Maxwell
↑ 81'
F
5
Indio
M
6
Moraes
↑ 46'
D
32
Charles Raphael
88
Neto Paraiba
↑ 59'
M
30
Pedro Vilhena
21
Brenno Pereira
M
26
Maguinho
↑ 71'
D
43
Joseph
D
9
Vinicius Mingotti
↑ 59'
F
São Bernardo 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Alex Alves
🟨 79'
G
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
3
Helder Maciel
D
35
Jemerson
D
33
Mario Sergio
↓ 56'
D
17
Romisson
🎯 30' 🎯 87' 🎯 90'
M
8
Foguinho
↓ 76'
M
26
Dudu Miraima
↓ 76'
M
42
Hyoran
↓ 64' 🟨 37'
F
9
Felipe Garcia
F
29
Pedrinho
⚽ 30' ↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
12
Junior Oliveira
G
6
Para
↑ 56'
D
77
Marcao Silva
↑ 76'
M
97
Augusto
D
10
Fabricio Daniel
F
90
Luizao
37
D. Davi
↑ 64'
F
89
Daniel Amorim
F
11
Pedro Vitor
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
F
21
Hugo Sanches
D
14
Lucas Lima
⚽ 87' ↑ 76'
M
27
Echapora
F
Last matches: Operario-PR
23.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
0
0
D
19.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
1
2
L
27.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
3
L
22.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
3
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: São Bernardo
23.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
3
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Avai
1
1
D
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
H2H: Operario-PR vs São Bernardo
07.08.26
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
3
L
02.04.26
H2H
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
W
08.10.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
W
03.09.23
H2H
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
2
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
W
Last matches: Operario-PR
23.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
1
2
L
22.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
3
2
W
12.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
H2H at home: Operario-PR
07.08.26
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
3
L
08.10.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
W
Last matches: São Bernardo
19.08.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1
2
L
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
H2H away: São Bernardo
07.08.26
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
3
W
08.10.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
L
06.08.23
H2H
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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