BRAZIL SERIE B
07.08.2026 22:30
Estádio Germano Krüger
Referee: L. Silveira
Operario-PR
Match Timeline
São Bernardo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Miranda
Operario-PR
30'
Pedrinho · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo
🟨
36'
Hildeberto Pereira
Operario-PR
🟨
37'
Hyoran
São Bernardo
VAR
45+4'
Miranda
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Aylon ↔ Moraes
Operario-PR
🔄
56'
Mario Sergio ↔ Para
São Bernardo
🔄
59'
Matheus Trindade ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
59'
Caio Dantas ↔ Vinicius Mingotti
Operario-PR
🔄
64'
Pedrinho ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
64'
Hyoran ↔ Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
67'
Vinicius Diniz
Operario-PR
🔄
71'
Mikael Doka ↔ Maguinho
Operario-PR
🔄
76'
Foguinho ↔ Marcao Silva
São Bernardo
🔄
76'
Dudu Miraima ↔ Lucas Lima
São Bernardo
🟨
79'
Alex Alves
São Bernardo
🔄
81'
H. Pereira ↔ Maxwell
Operario-PR
87'
Lucas Lima · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo
VAR
90+4'
Pedro Vitor
São Bernardo
90'
Pedro Vitor · Assist: Romisson
São Bernardo

Operario-PR vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Operario-PR Win 68.4%
Draw 4.1%
São Bernardo Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Operario-PR1.3
São Bernardo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
10
4.45
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Operario-PR Operario-PR 20 matches
São Bernardo São Bernardo 20 matches
Operario-PR Statistic São Bernardo
10 Wins 7
5 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
28 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 23
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.45 Shots On Goal 4.35
13.6 Total Shots 11.4
5 Corners 4.25
51.5% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Operario-PR arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 35 points compared to São Bernardo in 12 on 27, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. São Bernardo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 35 points from 20 games, Operario-PR bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a 28:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Gabriel Boschilia (9 goals), Pablo (5 goals), Aylon (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael Doka (3 assists), Aylon (2 assists), Gabriel Feliciano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo sit 12 with 27 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 28:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Mário Sergio (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Operario-PR won 3 times, São Bernardo won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Operario-PR's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Operario-PR 4-3-3 / São Bernardo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Operario-PR wins 3, draws 0, São Bernardo wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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